Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $504.59
- Potential payout
- $12.31K
- Potential profit
- $11.8K
- Multiplier
- 24.39x
- User PnL
- -$495.4
Polymarket Trader
Warmsocks
0xa232c3e1d73576c897bd928c7f48e3b3270e687c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.22K
- Realized PnL
- $107.89
- Win rate
- 64.3%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $542.39
- Potential payout
- $5.71K
- Potential profit
- $5.17K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$477.6
Yes position
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $30.72
- Potential payout
- $4.1K
- Potential profit
- $4.07K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$69.28
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $8.12
- Potential payout
- $1.48K
- Potential profit
- $1.47K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$41.88
Yes position
Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $63.92
- Potential payout
- $456.54
- Potential profit
- $392.63
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$33.21
Yes position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.91
- Potential payout
- $294.12
- Potential profit
- $292.21
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$8.09
Yes position
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $9.71
- Potential payout
- $289.96
- Potential profit
- $280.24
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $177.05
- Potential profit
- $177.05
- User PnL
- -$71
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $12.35
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $117.65
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $90.91
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $2.59
- Potential payout
- $51.7
- Potential profit
- $49.12
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.75
Y
Yes position
Jay Clayton confirmed as Director of National Intelligence by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $8.5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $41.5
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$31
Yes position
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $3.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $46.25
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $4.48
- Potential payout
- $20.83
- Potential profit
- $16.35
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.52
No position
Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $13.5
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $6.5
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- -$2.9
Yes position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.23
- Potential profit
- $19.23
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Kash Patel out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $7.36
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $6.93
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$2.64
Yes position
Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 24%
- Current value
- $2.4
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $7.6
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $2.05
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $7.95
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$2.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.76
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.52
Yes position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.77
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.4
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.76
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.18
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.71
Yes position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
9
90k position
Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Trump out as President before 2027?Yes 10% 100 shares
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?Yes 3.4% 289.96 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 19% 26.32 shares
- Ebola case in the US by June 30?Yes 14% 35.71 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 38% 26.32 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 39% 25.64 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 41% 48.78 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 41% 10 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 41% 10 shares
- Jay Clayton confirmed as Director of National Intelligence by June 30?Yes 79% 20 shares
- Jay Clayton confirmed as Director of National Intelligence by June 30?Yes 79% 20 shares
- Jay Clayton confirmed as Director of National Intelligence by June 30?Yes 79% 10 shares