No position
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $1.62K
- Potential payout
- $1.65K
- Potential profit
- $21.4
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$4.71
Polymarket Trader
calvinhobbes123
0xa234bdc751080ba6c4d2c7462523dbc27791f7eb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.81K
- Realized PnL
- $9.16K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $999.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $0.5
- User PnL
- $25
No position
Will FIFA World Cup 2026 be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $458.14
- Potential payout
- $464.64
- Potential profit
- $6.5
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $5.06
No position
Will Tubi: Movies & Live TV be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $345.58
- Potential payout
- $354.8
- Potential profit
- $9.22
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$1.27
No position
Will Tubi: Movies & Live TV be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $297.01
- Potential payout
- $300.47
- Potential profit
- $3.46
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $3.39
No position
Will FIFA World Cup 2026 be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Current value
- $278.81
- Potential payout
- $297.72
- Potential profit
- $18.91
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$13.8
No position
Will FOX One: Live News, Sports, TV be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.7%
- Current value
- $184.11
- Potential payout
- $284.78
- Potential profit
- $100.67
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$96.35
No position
Will FOX One: Live News, Sports, TV be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $189.16
- Potential payout
- $218.68
- Potential profit
- $29.52
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$21.03
No position
Will Peacock TV: Stream TV & Movies be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $124.27
- Potential payout
- $205.4
- Potential profit
- $81.13
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $72.97
No position
Will Paramount+ be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $145.08
- Potential payout
- $147.14
- Potential profit
- $2.06
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.92
No position
Will Love Island USA be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.6%
- Current value
- $62.47
- Potential payout
- $104.91
- Potential profit
- $42.44
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$41.37
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$4.26
No position
Will Love Island USA be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.8%
- Current value
- $54.46
- Potential payout
- $94.3
- Potential profit
- $39.84
- Multiplier
- 1.73x
- User PnL
- -$37.34
No position
Will Kalshi: Trade the Cup be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $33.11
- Potential payout
- $61.88
- Potential profit
- $28.77
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$25.16
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.48
- Potential profit
- $22.48
- User PnL
- -$9.55
No position
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.6%
- Current value
- $13.28
- Potential payout
- $19.95
- Potential profit
- $6.67
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- -$6.46
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.09K
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 8?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.57K
No position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23K
No position
TikTok sale announced by September 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $505.61
Yes position
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $466.36
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $283.4
No position
Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $249.8
No position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $236.91
No position
RedNote/Xiaohongshu #1 app on Jan 24?
Ends Jan 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $217.8
No position
Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $217
Yes position
Will Alibaba’s Qwen 3 Max win the NOF1.ai competition?
Ends Oct 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $186.79
Yes position
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.99
No position
Park Sung-jae in jail by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177.13
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 22-28 be between 18,250,000 and 18,500,000?
Ends Dec 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $169.66
No position
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $168
Yes position
Earthquake 7.0 or above by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $165.37
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $164.23
No position
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.43
No position
New Pope in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $138.8
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 24 be between 2,000,000 and 2,250,000?
Ends Dec 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.18
No position
Will Threads be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.78
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 28 be between 2,750,000 and 3,000,000?
Ends Dec 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.27
No position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.15
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 15-21 be between 17,500,000 and 17,750,000?
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.07
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Love Island USA be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 19?No 99% 104.91 shares
- Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 19?No 98.9% 19.95 shares
- Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?No 99% 1,445.96 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 19?No 98.7% 73 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 19?No 90.2% 113.95 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 19?No 52.6% 67.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 19?No 62.4% 83.41 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 19?No 99% 244.65 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 19?No 95% 54.26 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 19?No 96.3% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 19?No 96.9% 75 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 19?No 97% 25 shares