No position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
kaladin
0xa23dec5a387b1605613aa7ca6e4f91729a99a396
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $596.06
- Realized PnL
- $542.56
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Current value
- $596.06
- Potential payout
- $628.42
- Potential profit
- $32.36
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.94
No position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $181.82
- Potential profit
- $181.82
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125.32
- Potential profit
- $125.32
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $69.82
- Potential profit
- $69.82
- User PnL
- -$20
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 3?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.28
- Potential profit
- $51.28
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.7
No position
Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.31
No position
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.77
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $80000 on April 4?
Ends Apr 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.61
No position
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.28
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.3
No position
Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.13
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.7
No position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.47
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3000 in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.26
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.87
Yes position
Will Elon x Rogan get more than 3 million views on day 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.13
No position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.34
Yes position
Will GPT-5 be released by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.58
Yes position
Will Trump lower tariffs on EU in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.89
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.51
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.83
No position
Will xAI have the top AI model on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.54
Yes position
Will Meta have the top AI model on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.26
Yes position
Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 95% 523.16 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 95% 105.26 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?No 99.1% 1 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?No 77.1% 597.71 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?No 94% 461.6 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 3?Up 3.9% 51.28 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?No 95.9% 435.9 shares
- Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?No 96.8% 431.85 shares
- Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?No 82% 431.85 shares
- Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No 81% 354.26 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No 87% 286.95 shares