Polymarket Trader

Tibor.Bokor@gmail.com - 5519

0xa24ef467644a0ec79afdd9b1d5b3c96e7a82dfcc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $303.78
Realized PnL: $196.81
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $52.78
Potential payout: $555.56
Potential profit: $502.78
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$7.22

No position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $102.94
Potential payout: $117.65
Potential profit: $14.71
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $2.94

Yes position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $52.27
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $38.64
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $2.27

Yes position

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $46.32
Potential payout: $60.55
Potential profit: $14.23
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$3.68

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $19.52
Potential payout: $32.26
Potential profit: $12.74
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $9.52

Yes position

Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 56%
Current value: $14.55
Potential payout: $25.97
Potential profit: $11.43
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: -$5.45

No position

Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $4.17
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $16.67
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: -$5.83

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $0.79
Potential payout: $17.54
Potential profit: $16.75
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$9.21

Yes position

Uber # of trips above 3.8B in Q1?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.81
Potential profit: $16.81
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.33
Potential profit: $13.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $10.45
Potential payout: $11.24
Potential profit: $0.79
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will Uber (UBER) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.67
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.2

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.48

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.03

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.32

Yes position

Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.17

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.74

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.62

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.52

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.47

Yes position

Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.88

Yes position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.93

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.61

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.71

Up position

Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.08

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.08

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.85

Up position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.16

Up position

Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.16

No position

DoorDash total orders above 960M in Q1?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

Yes position

Will Anthropic have closed its next funding round by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49

Yes position

Will Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.87

Yes position

Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 70.2% 28.47 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 37% 27.03 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 64% 24.39 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 41% 24.39 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 29% 34.48 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 57% 17.54 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?

Yes 77.1% 25.93 shares
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 71% 14.08 shares
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?

Yes 77% 25.97 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Yes 68% 14.71 shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Yes 9% 111.11 shares
Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes 55% 90.91 shares