Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$14.5
Polymarket Trader
top-gamble
@pedr0fr
0xa25502f62ea18c227e3629d01475474a50344e23
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.7K
- Realized PnL
- $3.75K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.12K
- Potential payout
- $2.12K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $373.11
No position
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.01K
- Potential payout
- $2.01K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $388.3
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.9K
- Potential profit
- $1.9K
- User PnL
- -$1.49K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.9K
- Potential payout
- $1.9K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.67K
No position
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.12K
- Potential profit
- $1.12K
- User PnL
- -$18.39
No position
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 40%
- Current value
- $251.67
- Potential payout
- $629.18
- Potential profit
- $377.51
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- $62.44
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $450.02
- Potential profit
- $450.02
- User PnL
- -$376.03
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $400
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $76.5
Yes position
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $400
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $48.39
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300.2
- Potential profit
- $300.2
- User PnL
- -$113.84
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$7.5
No position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $300
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $39
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $299.4
- Potential payout
- $299.4
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $46.91
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $205
- Potential payout
- $205
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $40.1
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$129.8
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $200
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $38.5
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $25
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $175
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$68.3
No position
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $200
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $40.5
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,050 (HIGH) in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.7
- Potential profit
- $199.7
- User PnL
- -$63.59
No position
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $135.49
- Potential payout
- $186.88
- Potential profit
- $51.39
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $77.31
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $154.28
- Potential payout
- $165
- Potential profit
- $10.72
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $25.08
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,150 (HIGH) in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$61.83
No position
Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $100
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $10.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $877.59
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $511.87
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $366.76
No position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $261.95
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174.56
No position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $169.09
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (HIGH) in March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $168.96
No position
Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.3
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $158.5
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (HIGH) in March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.31
No position
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.88
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.43
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.86
No position
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.24
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (HIGH) in March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.5
No position
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.1
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.86
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.8
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34
No position
Will Kuwait strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23
No position
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.8
No position
Will Netflix reach $105 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.45
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?No 85% 99.4 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 0.6% 2,000 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No 56% 2,563.1 shares
- Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?No 81% 500 shares
- Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?No 81% 300 shares
- Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?No 81% 600 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No 62.8% 5,168.7 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Yes 56.5% 200 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes 99% 5 shares
- Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 87.9% 400 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 37% 30 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 30% 50 shares