Polymarket Trader

Wachufleiba88

0xa2555bf6c3e8a81b4cd65063f02b728a85322ffc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $776.93
Realized PnL: $1.04K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $142.26
Potential payout: $220.55
Potential profit: $78.3
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $26.26

Yes position

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $17.23
Potential payout: $164.07
Potential profit: $146.85
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$7.77

Yes position

José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $14.64
Potential payout: $154.13
Potential profit: $139.48
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$8.47

No position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $70.52
Potential payout: $134.32
Potential profit: $63.8
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $7.52

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $8.77
Potential payout: $116.88
Potential profit: $108.12
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$31.23

No position

Kash Patel out by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $57.2
Potential payout: $97.77
Potential profit: $40.58
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $12.1

No position

Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $76.42
Potential payout: $97.36
Potential profit: $20.93
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $15.41

No position

Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $57.56
Potential payout: $90.64
Potential profit: $33.09
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $7.55

Yes position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $70.51
Potential payout: $89.82
Potential profit: $19.31
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $7.31

No position

Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $73.75
Potential payout: $84.29
Potential profit: $10.54
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $14.75

No position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $58.9
Potential payout: $76
Potential profit: $17.1
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $13.3

No position

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $15.39
Potential payout: $62.83
Potential profit: $47.44
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $0.39

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $26.69
Potential payout: $58.66
Potential profit: $31.97
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $1.54

No position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $30.18
Potential payout: $46.79
Potential profit: $16.61
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $3.78

No position

UK Recession in 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $29.25
Potential payout: $40.34
Potential profit: $11.09
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $9.25

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.9%
Current value: $2.2
Potential payout: $28
Potential profit: $25.8
Multiplier: 12.74x
User PnL: $0.24

Yes position

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $11.21
Potential payout: $27.05
Potential profit: $15.84
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $1.41

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $3.23
Potential payout: $25.93
Potential profit: $22.7
Multiplier: 8.03x
User PnL: -$0.77

Yes position

Spain snap election called in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49%
Current value: $8.78
Potential payout: $17.92
Potential profit: $9.14
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: $1.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.38
Potential profit: $12.38
User PnL: -$2.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $2.25
Potential payout: $6.34
Potential profit: $4.09
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$0.35

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.94

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.89

Yes position

Will Partido Popular win 32-35 seats in the 2026 Castilla y León regional election?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.6

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $77.36

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $70.59

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.21

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.15

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.92

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.86

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $36.55

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.18

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.09

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $32.23

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.01

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.3

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $26.89

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.78

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.95

No position

Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-03-05?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.18

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.95

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.2

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.45

No position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
User PnL: $16.19

No position

Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 82.1%
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $16.14

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 27?

Yes 41% 6.34 shares
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 26?

Yes 99.9% 8.25 shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 26?

Yes 99.7% 7 shares
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 26?

Yes 99.9% 6.66 shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 26?

Yes 0.1% 8.81 shares
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 26?

Yes 21% 12.38 shares
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 26?

Yes 5% 15.38 shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 26?

Yes 39% 2.56 shares
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?

No 47% 10.64 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes 4% 117.79 shares
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?

Yes 4.2% 60 shares
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 26?

Yes 39% 8.26 shares