Polymarket Trader

0xA256EF23221b9640495059F4FDb466AA8199859E-1780600537723

0xa256ef23221b9640495059f4fdb466aa8199859e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $61.18
Realized PnL: -$19.14
Win rate: 54.5%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 22
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $9.37
Potential payout: $892
Potential profit: $882.63
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$2.23

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $617.2
Potential profit: $617.2
User PnL: -$12.35

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $10.62
Potential payout: $574
Potential profit: $563.38
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299
Potential profit: $299
User PnL: -$8.37

Yes position

Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Egypt?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $11.05
Potential payout: $287
Potential profit: $275.95
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $9.01
Potential payout: $228
Potential profit: $218.99
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$1.48

Yes position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $7.65
Potential payout: $127.48
Potential profit: $119.83
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $6.57
Potential payout: $101
Potential profit: $94.44
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$3.54

Yes position

Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.3%
Current value: $5.02
Potential payout: $69.23
Potential profit: $64.21
Multiplier: 13.79x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.4%
Current value: $1.7
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $13.3
Multiplier: 8.81x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $7.12
Potential profit: $7.07
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $1.92
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: -$0

Jiri Lehecka position

Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0.93
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: $0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 3 Spain?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.33

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $3.15

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: $2.5

New York Mets position

New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.41

Yes position

Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Spain?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.92

Yes position

Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 2 Spain?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.54

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 14.5%
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $0.49

Valerio Aboian position

Bogota: Valerio Aboian vs Luis Carlos Alvarez

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.44

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.3%
Multiplier: 5.48x
User PnL: $0.29

Spain position

Spread: Spain (-3.5)

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.8%
Multiplier: 5.33x
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.3%
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Belgium?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 15.2%
Multiplier: 6.60x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Multiplier: 6.92x
User PnL: -$0.57

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$1.58

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$2.81

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.41

Yes position

Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 Spain?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10.08

Philadelphia Phillies position

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 7?

Yes 1.7% 402 shares
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves

New York Mets 28% 8 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 15.1% 1 shares
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Spain?

Yes 1.2% 34.95 shares
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.2% 1,000 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.7% 146 shares
Spread: Spain (-3.5)

Spain 3% 39.23 shares
Spread: Spain (-3.5)

Spain 3% 126.3 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.5% 1,111 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.2% 909 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.8% 483 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.6% 638 shares