Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54
- Potential profit
- $54
- User PnL
- -$2.32
Polymarket Trader
LoopyPretzel
0xa25b1dbda11ac27d29d6acb0fea8a0eb03e59de2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $40.98
- Realized PnL
- $6.99
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
No one announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $40.98
- Potential payout
- $41
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $3.34
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.21
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.17
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?Yes 4.3% 20 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?Yes 2.7% 79 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?No 97.8% 45 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?No 97.8% 45 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?Yes 3.3% 36 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?Yes 3.3% 28 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?No 95.5% 15 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?No 97.5% 15 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Yes 10% 12 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Yes 9.1% 12 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?Yes 3.6% 86 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?Yes 3.7% 90 shares