No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $996.38
- Potential payout
- $1.22K
- Potential profit
- $226.32
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $435.55
Polymarket Trader
Warszawa
0xa265aba0c07ed3d8eae30c0c19d3a8b7292aa9df
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $996.38
- Realized PnL
- $219.15
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $386.64
- Potential profit
- $386.64
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $330.86
- Potential profit
- $330.86
- User PnL
- -$176.99
Yes position
Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $77.24
- Potential profit
- $77.24
- User PnL
- -$24.14
Yes position
Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.64
- Potential profit
- $50.64
- User PnL
- -$22
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Russia enter Borova by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.4
No position
Will Russia enter Borova by December 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.78
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.56
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.17
No position
Another ATACMS strike into Russian territory by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.04
No position
Will Russia enter Huliaipole by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.84
No position
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.34
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: December
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.65
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29
No position
Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.9
No position
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.31
Yes position
Will Russia capture Yampil' by November 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.06
No position
Will Russia enter Lyman by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.52
Yes position
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.67
No position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by January 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$94
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$179.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes 75% 26.67 shares
- Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes 43.4% 50.64 shares
- Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes 32% 12.95 shares
- Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes 31.1% 64.29 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?No 82.6% 242.17 shares
- Will Russia enter Borova by March 31?No 98.2% 280 shares
- Will Russia enter Borova by March 31?No 65.2% 280 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?No 91.3% 200 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by March 31?Yes 53.5% 330.86 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?No 88.5% 199.99 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No 48% 1,022.7 shares
- Will Russia enter Borova by December 31?No 98.1% 160 shares