Polymarket Trader

0xa268...c159

0xa268a011622bcffe0ce94aedee603692dcbcc159

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $4.19K
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.67K
User PnL: -$199.92

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.07K
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $402.62

Yes position

GTA VI released before June 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $888
Potential payout: $888
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $488.4

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.4%
Current value: $157.18
Potential payout: $769
Potential profit: $611.82
Multiplier: 4.89x
User PnL: -$42.76

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $681
Potential profit: $681
User PnL: -$149.82

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $606
Potential payout: $606
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $72.72

Seahawks position

Seahawks vs. Patriots

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $526
Potential payout: $526
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $167.47

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $520
Potential profit: $520
User PnL: -$135.2

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $483.46
Potential profit: $483.46
User PnL: -$87.02

Yes position

Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $442.33
Potential profit: $442.33
User PnL: -$109.97

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $301.44
Potential payout: $361
Potential profit: $59.57
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $1.81

Yes position

Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $262.98
Potential payout: $262.98
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $113.08

Yes position

Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$79.25

Yes position

Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $59.41
Potential payout: $117.64
Potential profit: $58.23
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$0.59

Yes position

Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49.6%
Current value: $50.56
Potential payout: $102.04
Potential profit: $51.48
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $100
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89
Potential profit: $89
User PnL: -$59.63

Yes position

Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $87
Potential profit: $87
User PnL: -$54.81

Yes position

New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $47.87
Potential payout: $84.73
Potential profit: $36.87
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$2.13

Yes position

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $40.82
Potential payout: $82.47
Potential profit: $41.65
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $1.24

Yes position

Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $79.36
Potential payout: $79.36
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $29.36

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$5.5

Yes position

U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.26

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 83% 361 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Yes 45% 888 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Yes 12% 1,666 shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 26% 769 shares
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?

Yes 74% 675 shares
US government shutdown Saturday?

Yes 88% 606 shares
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?

Yes 49% 102.04 shares
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?

Yes 31.7% 250 shares
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?

Yes 29% 500 shares
US government shutdown Saturday?

Yes 67% 633 shares
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Yes 63% 50 shares
Seahawks vs. Patriots

Seahawks 69% 85 shares