No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $281.61
- Potential profit
- $281.61
- User PnL
- -$245
Polymarket Trader
loganj
0xa2780c8ae055c625b767c188dd182e967150c58a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $57.58
- Realized PnL
- $148.55
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $119.59
- Potential profit
- $119.59
- User PnL
- -$6
N
No position
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $23.23
- Potential payout
- $23.41
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- User PnL
- $2.63
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $21.72
- Potential payout
- $22.58
- Potential profit
- $0.86
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.72
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $12.62
- Potential payout
- $18.29
- Potential profit
- $5.67
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- -$2.38
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $41.1
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.19
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.85
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.93
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.43
No position
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.56
Yes position
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.43
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.38
Yes position
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.17
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.16
Yes position
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.94
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.85
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.35
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.3
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.62
Yes position
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.39
Yes position
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.22
Yes position
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.97
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.39
No position
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.73
No position
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.71
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64
No position
Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.61
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?No 93% 22.58 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?No 82% 18.29 shares
- Iran successfully targets shipping on June 29?No 88% 23.41 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 99.3% 15.28 shares
- Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 97.7% 73.78 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 91.6% 15.28 shares
- Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?Yes 99.1% 16.95 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 87% 281.61 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 97.7% 50 shares
- Will Petr Yan fight Merab Dvalishvili next?Yes 55% 4.28 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 80% 50 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 89% 147.19 shares