Polymarket Trader

caspar1248

0xa278b41b5afda5d18da683eb7f851a7b2dc13369

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $11.64K
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 3
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $5.49K
Potential payout: $5.55K
Potential profit: $58.25
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $5.49K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $72.2
Potential payout: $5.35K
Potential profit: $5.28K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: $72.2

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $2.13K
Potential payout: $2.17K
Potential profit: $38
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.13K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $38.03
Potential payout: $1.95K
Potential profit: $1.91K
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: $38.03

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $76.5
Potential payout: $1.8K
Potential profit: $1.72K
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: $76.5

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $1.16K
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $39
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.16K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $16.48
Potential payout: $621.81
Potential profit: $605.33
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: $16.48

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $586.5
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $13.5
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $586.5

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $194.91
Potential payout: $419.17
Potential profit: $224.25
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $194.91

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 77%
Current value: $308
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $92
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $308

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $104
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $296
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: $104

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $142
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $258
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $142

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $328
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $72
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $328

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $77.4
Potential payout: $387.02
Potential profit: $309.61
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: $77.4

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $152.86
Potential payout: $332.31
Potential profit: $179.45
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: $152.86

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 64%
Current value: $212.67
Potential payout: $332.3
Potential profit: $119.63
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: $212.67

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $185
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $15
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $185

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $163.59
Potential payout: $186.96
Potential profit: $23.37
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $163.59

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $147.98
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $2.03
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $147.98

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $49.23
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $0.77
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $49.23

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $1.22
Potential payout: $27.2
Potential profit: $25.98
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: $1.22

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Scotland be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Scotland be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Polymarket update