elpredictoooor

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $1.97K
Potential payout: $2.2K
Potential profit: $231
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$21

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $995.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $4.5
User PnL: $20.5

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $565.5
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $34.5
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $58.5

No position

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $426.53
Potential payout: $428.24
Potential profit: $1.71
User PnL: $6.85

Yes position

Will SpaceX have the highest private market valuation on June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $296.1
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $3.9
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $20.1

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $271.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $28.5
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $24.41

No position

Uniswap protocol fee switch enabled by December 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $260
Potential profit: $260
User PnL: -$194.2

No position

Hyperbeat FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $195.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $4.9
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$2.38

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$80

No position

Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 93.4%
Current value: $186.7
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $13.3
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$4.3

No position

Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $198
Potential profit: $198
User PnL: -$15.84

No position

USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $193.15
Potential profit: $193.15
User PnL: -$191.41

No position

Will Kinetiq reach $1 before 2027?

Implied probability: 85.2%
Current value: $112.46
Potential payout: $132
Potential profit: $19.54
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $1.8

No position

Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026?

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $73.1
Potential payout: $115.11
Potential profit: $42.02
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $16.32

No position

Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $111.31
Potential payout: $113.64
Potential profit: $2.33
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $11.31

No position

Mistral AI IPO before 2027?

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $93.89
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $17.22
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$6.11

No position

Another Elon baby by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.3%
Current value: $95.25
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $4.75
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $2.25

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$61

Yes position

Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$83.4

No position

Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?

Implied probability: 72%
Current value: $72
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $28
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: $28.38

No position

Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $95.1
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $4.9
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $4.1

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$74

No position

Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $97.45
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $2.55
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$1.33

No position

Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 75%
Current value: $75
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $25
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: $10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.08K

Yes position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $495

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $426.3

No position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $412.07

Yes position

Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $385.69

No position

Maduro out in 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $355.71

No position

Cardano ETF in 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $190.67

No position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180.57

Yes position

Yieldbasis FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $176.62

No position

Will CZ return to Binance by December 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.09

No position

Senate passes bill to purchase 1m Bitcoin in 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.6

No position

Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80

Yes position

Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $62.38

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.5

No position

Football.Fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.3

Yes position

Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.17

No position

Will Abstract launch a token in 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.63

No position

WLFI market cap (FDV) <$10B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.2

No position

Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.2

No position

Pepe ETF in 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.89

No position

Hyperlend FDV above $50M one day after launch?