No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.49K
- Potential profit
- $2.49K
- User PnL
- -$1.06K
Polymarket Trader
gigajoe
0xa27d22701bf0f222467673f563e59aa0e38df847
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.65K
- Realized PnL
- $60.44
- Win rate
- 54.2%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $908.07
- Potential payout
- $1.21K
- Potential profit
- $303.5
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $89.13
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $1.13K
- User PnL
- -$442.68
No position
Databricks IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $794.64
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $237.36
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $196.08
Yes position
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- User PnL
- -$705.26
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $640.37
- Potential profit
- $640.37
- User PnL
- -$416.24
No position
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $433.6
- Potential payout
- $513.14
- Potential profit
- $79.54
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $156.51
Yes position
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $474.75
- Potential profit
- $474.75
- User PnL
- -$170.91
No position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $15.81
- Potential payout
- $316.13
- Potential profit
- $300.32
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- -$99.35
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $189.12
- Potential payout
- $189.12
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $79.86
Yes position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $144.34
- Potential payout
- $187.46
- Potential profit
- $43.12
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $24.37
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.6%
- Current value
- $30.13
- Potential payout
- $154.13
- Potential profit
- $124
- Multiplier
- 5.12x
- User PnL
- -$5.63
No position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $40.71
- Potential payout
- $83.93
- Potential profit
- $43.22
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $1.26
Yes position
Databricks IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $17.27
- Potential payout
- $75.07
- Potential profit
- $57.81
- Multiplier
- 4.35x
- User PnL
- -$13.51
No position
Deel IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $71.64
- Potential payout
- $75.02
- Potential profit
- $3.38
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $19.92
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.3
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.1%
- Multiplier
- 3.99x
- User PnL
- $13.79
Yes position
Anduril IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $12.13
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.01
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.76
Yes position
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 84%
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?Yes 52% 12 shares
- OpenAI IPO before 2027?Yes 48% 140.12 shares
- OpenAI IPO before 2027?No 50% 140 shares
- SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?Yes 83% 211.91 shares
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No 52% 511.07 shares
- Databricks IPO before 2027?No 58% 52 shares
- Anduril IPO before 2027?No 64% 10.98 shares
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No 53% 92 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 49% 37.45 shares
- OpenAI IPO before 2027?Yes 49% 61.84 shares
- Anduril IPO before 2027?No 71% 23.64 shares
- Anduril IPO before 2027?Yes 28% 172.94 shares