Up position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $13.03
- Potential payout
- $23.07
- Potential profit
- $10.04
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $2.65
Polymarket Trader
0xa283...af5b
0xa283d7e9ecd717fd5bd38b2f3a6aa9e5c38baf5b
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $31.13
- Realized PnL
- $1.42
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $10.29
- Potential payout
- $18.06
- Potential profit
- $7.77
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- $0.72
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.1%
- Current value
- $1.08
- Potential payout
- $13.43
- Potential profit
- $12.35
- Multiplier
- 12.42x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.9%
- Current value
- $1.79
- Potential payout
- $12.07
- Potential profit
- $10.28
- Multiplier
- 6.73x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $11.56
- Potential profit
- $11.55
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.1%
- Current value
- $4.93
- Potential payout
- $5.3
- Potential profit
- $0.37
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.09
- Potential profit
- $3.09
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.34
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 7, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 7, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.84
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.27
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on July 8?Yes 9% 11.56 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 8?Yes 34% 3.09 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 8?No 99% 8.62 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 8?No 45% 8.62 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 8?Yes 9.9% 13.43 shares
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 8?Up 45% 3.98 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 8?Up 53% 9.04 shares
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 8?Up 45% 9.56 shares
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 8?Up 45% 9.53 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 8?Up 53% 9.02 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 8?No 93.8% 5.3 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 8?No 29% 3.55 shares