Polymarket Trader

ArmandOk

0xa2893588c654e10b3e6f3656e463a73d47824791

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $491.13
Realized PnL: $2.03K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 2.6%
Current value: $11.53
Potential payout: $443.64
Potential profit: $432.11
Multiplier: 38.46x
User PnL: $1.53

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $97
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $103
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $19

Yes position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $147
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $53
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $5

United States position

United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $80.25
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $69.75
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $5.25

Yes position

Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Spain?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $9.75
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $140.25
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $39.75
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $110.25
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$35.25

Spain position

Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $66.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $33.5
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: -$0.5

Brazil position

Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$71

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$46

Yes position

Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 5.2% and 5.5%?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.85
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.85

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$39

No position

Will Jonathan Hofeller be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $39.2
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $0.8
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $576.79

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $358.63

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $194

Yes position

Will Mark Juncosa be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $192.7

Yes position

Will Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: $100.55

Yes position

Will Jonathan Hofeller be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Multiplier: 50.00x
User PnL: $76.4

Morocco position

Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.2

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56

England position

Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45

Switzerland position

Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.5

No position

Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $34.5

France position

Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Portugal position

Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29

No position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.3

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.45

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.92

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance

Spain 67% 100 shares
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Spain?

Yes 7% 150 shares
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?

No 73% 150 shares
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

Belgium 47% 150 shares
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?

Yes 0.5% 200 shares
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance

England 55% 100 shares
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance

Brazil 71% 100 shares
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?

Yes 2.8% 6.25 shares
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?

Yes 4% 220 shares
Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance

France 93% 200 shares
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

Morocco 66% 130 shares
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

Morocco 73% 100 shares