Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $2.32K
- Potential payout
- $17.01K
- Potential profit
- $14.69K
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$178.55
Polymarket Trader
k00pa
0xa289b3324a891d5cab24c92adde4aba24989d95c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $43.42K
- Realized PnL
- $21.21K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $13.77K
- Potential payout
- $13.84K
- Potential profit
- $76.14
- User PnL
- $742.78
No position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $5.74K
- Potential payout
- $5.75K
- Potential profit
- $8.62
- User PnL
- $156.99
Yes position
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $3.38K
- Potential payout
- $3.4K
- Potential profit
- $20.4
- User PnL
- $251.6
No position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $2.46K
- Potential payout
- $2.78K
- Potential profit
- $319.18
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $704.97
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $2.17K
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $30.8
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $145.2
No position
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $1.83K
- Potential payout
- $1.91K
- Potential profit
- $86.08
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $66.95
No position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $1.52K
- Potential payout
- $1.8K
- Potential profit
- $279.19
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $409.81
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $1.65K
- Potential payout
- $1.75K
- Potential profit
- $96.25
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$8.75
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $1.59K
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $110.5
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $161.5
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $1.48K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $22.5
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $55.5
No position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $1.39K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $112.5
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $52.5
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $1.49K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $13.5
- User PnL
- $106.5
No position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 35%
- Current value
- $524.97
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $974.94
- Multiplier
- 2.86x
- User PnL
- $45
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $1.06K
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $138
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $32
No position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $396.56
- Potential payout
- $399.96
- Potential profit
- $3.4
- User PnL
- $140.59
No position
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $36.42
- Potential payout
- $383.33
- Potential profit
- $346.91
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.92
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $241.51
- Potential payout
- $300.01
- Potential profit
- $58.5
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $127.5
No position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.13
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $249.88
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$109.88
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $208.43
- Potential payout
- $227.8
- Potential profit
- $19.36
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $20.93
Yes position
Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $190.45
- Potential profit
- $190.45
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.6%
- Current value
- $166.63
- Potential payout
- $180.04
- Potential profit
- $13.41
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $8.21
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $169.49
- Potential profit
- $169.49
- User PnL
- -$100
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2.06K
No position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.43K
Yes position
Will MrBeast x Ronaldo video get less than 50m views on day 1?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $1.22K
No position
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
Yes position
Will Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce podcast get between 10-15m views on day 1?
Ends Aug 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $778.49
No position
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $752.9
Yes position
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $718.92
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $716
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $709.64
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $689.41
Yes position
US government shutdown by October 1?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $645.81
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $629.63
No position
Trump second inauguration gets more viewers than first?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $620.9
No position
Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $561.12
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $553.7
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $525.03
No position
Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $503.92
Yes position
Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $500
No position
Will XRP dip to $1.70 in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $495
No position
Will Ronaldo x MrBeast video get >20m views on day 1?
Ends Nov 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $471.65
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $465
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes 95% 1,024.6 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 44% 250 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?No 0.4% 883.33 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No 99.8% 1,002 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 55% 200 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 84.8% 1,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 82.3% 911.17 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?No 30% 133.33 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No 94.8% 1,311.34 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 90.5% 1,000 shares
- Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No 99% 2,024.02 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 14.7% 17,006.8 shares