No position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $4K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $2
- User PnL
- $130.81
Polymarket Trader
ICTRADING
0xa28cea90f23798fcfa4806d0c8927c95fdb3e10f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.6K
- Realized PnL
- $1.04K
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $1.71K
- Potential payout
- $1.77K
- Potential profit
- $62.85
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $94.19
No position
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $993.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $6.5
- User PnL
- $83.5
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $495
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $505
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $75
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.6%
- Current value
- $255.39
- Potential payout
- $999.56
- Potential profit
- $744.17
- Multiplier
- 3.91x
- User PnL
- -$171.17
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Current value
- $12.28
- Potential payout
- $341.22
- Potential profit
- $328.94
- Multiplier
- 27.78x
- User PnL
- $3.75
Yes position
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 66%
- Current value
- $103.37
- Potential payout
- $156.62
- Potential profit
- $53.25
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- $43.97
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jerome Powell by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$6.2
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.7
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.3
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $0.77
- Potential payout
- $53.02
- Potential profit
- $52.25
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$17.45
No position
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $17.46
- Potential payout
- $36.76
- Potential profit
- $19.3
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $15.39
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $3.61
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $1.65
- Potential payout
- $1.68
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.97
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $509.45
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $224
Yes position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $161.52
No position
GPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $157.73
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.61
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80
No position
GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.46
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $69
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35
No position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $24
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22
No position
Will OpenAI file for an IPO by May 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.86
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9
Yes position
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.5
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.76
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$1.44
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$49.13
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$102.6
Yes position
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$103.93
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- -$124.77
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$163.23
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?No 5.6% 11 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?No 6.3% 58.4 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?No 70% 300 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?Yes 97% 586.84 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?No 47% 300 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?No 95.8% 1,112.91 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 92% 330.62 shares
- Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 99.9% 2,000 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 15.7% 100 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 60% 46.68 shares
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?Yes 40% 12 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 43% 250 shares