Polymarket Trader

0xA2974a57CA56ea645eB9D61933712Ab55Cc36A6e-1773575964807

0xa2974a57ca56ea645eb9d61933712ab55cc36a6e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $169.72
Realized PnL: $151.54
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.7%
Current value: $69.01
Potential payout: $440.95
Potential profit: $371.94
Multiplier: 6.39x
User PnL: $54.13

Portugal position

Spread: Portugal (-3.5)

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $139.57
Potential profit: $139.57
User PnL: -$19.54

Yes position

Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $23.68
Potential payout: $110.14
Potential profit: $86.46
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $3.68

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $19.36
Potential payout: $104.94
Potential profit: $85.58
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $2.36

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $6.88
Potential payout: $103.45
Potential profit: $96.57
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$2.12

Yes position

Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $40.65
Potential payout: $100.37
Potential profit: $59.72
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$13.35

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $7.17
Potential payout: $97.51
Potential profit: $90.34
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: -$2.58

Yes position

Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $94.57
Potential profit: $94.57
User PnL: -$19.86

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.56
Potential profit: $32.56
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.43
Potential profit: $30.43
User PnL: -$28

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.08
Potential profit: $23.08
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.28
Potential profit: $21.28
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.86
Potential profit: $17.86
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.38
Potential profit: $15.38
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.38
Potential profit: $15.38
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 27m?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.69
Potential profit: $10.69
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.53
Potential profit: $10.53
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.42
Potential profit: $10.42
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 32%
Current value: $2.98
Potential payout: $9.3
Potential profit: $6.33
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: -$1.02

Spain position

Spread: Spain (-4.5)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $4.76
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.41
Potential profit: $4.41
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.27
Potential profit: $2.27
User PnL: -$1.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will "Ready or Not 2: Here I Come" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8.5m and 10m?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.46

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.69

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.75

Yes position

Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.52

Yes position

Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-07?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.04

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.66

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.29

No position

Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.25

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.94

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.81

No position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $1.85

Yes position

Kathryn Newton as Cassie Lang?

Ends Dec 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.24

No position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: $0.23

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.26

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?

Yes 43% 4.65 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?

Yes 53.8% 100.37 shares
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 23% 43.48 shares
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Yes 26% 15.38 shares
Spread: Portugal (-3.5)

Portugal 14% 139.57 shares
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?

Yes 21% 94.57 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?

Yes 43% 4.65 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 66% 1.52 shares
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 68% 4.41 shares
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 2% 46.28 shares
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 38% 18.42 shares
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 38% 13.16 shares