Andypro

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $254.56
Potential payout: $2.04K
Potential profit: $1.78K
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$37.23

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $411.02
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.59K
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$130.07

Yes position

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $10.18
Potential payout: $1.85K
Potential profit: $1.84K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$105.62

No position

Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 81.3%
Current value: $1.4K
Potential payout: $1.72K
Potential profit: $323.26
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $907.48

Yes position

Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $75.53
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $1.35K
Multiplier: 18.87x
User PnL: -$143.57

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $465
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $535
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $170

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $855
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $145
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $345

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$53

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$35

No position

Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Ends Oct 24, 2027

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $573.43
Potential payout: $997.27
Potential profit: $423.84
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $10.09

Yes position

Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $79.25
Potential payout: $990.58
Potential profit: $911.33
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: $9.91

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $990.06
Potential profit: $990.06
User PnL: -$29.7

Yes position

Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $2.45
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $697.55
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$85.55

No position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Implied probability: 26.1%
Current value: $163
Potential payout: $625.71
Potential profit: $462.71
Multiplier: 3.84x
User PnL: -$72.27

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $598.5
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$40.5

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $599.6
Potential profit: $599.6
User PnL: -$271.62

No position

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $422.51
Potential payout: $500.01
Potential profit: $77.5
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $217.5

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $382.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $117.5
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $207.5

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$61.5

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$268

Yes position

Will Aster reach $1.60 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $48.96
Potential payout: $391.69
Potential profit: $342.73
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$52.88

Yes position

Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $35.55
Potential payout: $374.22
Potential profit: $338.67
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$52.42

Yes position

Solana all time high by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $15.6
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $284.4
Multiplier: 19.23x
User PnL: -$50.4

Yes position

Will Dogecoin reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $20
Potential payout: $200.01
Potential profit: $180.01
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$24

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Maduro out by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.79K

Yes position

Will Kast win by 15% to 20%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.75K

Yes position

Maduro out by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.21K

Yes position

Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $745.52

Yes position

Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $587.97

Orioles position

Blue Jays vs. Orioles

Ends Aug 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $528.21

Yankees position

Rays vs. Yankees

Ends Aug 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $460.59

Yes position

Will Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $419.06

Mariners position

Angels vs. Mariners

Ends Sep 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $417.24

Yes position

Will Kast win by 20% to 25%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $415.8

Down position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $332.95

Cardinals position

Cardinals vs. Giants

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $319

Nationals position

Pirates vs. Nationals

Ends Sep 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $312

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $308.5

Rangers position

Rangers vs. Angels

Ends Aug 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $292.1

Mariners position

Angels vs. Mariners

Ends Sep 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $285.63

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $269.87

No position

Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $247.04

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $240

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $236.29

Mariners position

Mariners vs. Athletics

Ends Aug 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $231.58

Phillies position

Royals vs. Phillies

Ends Sep 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $227.79

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid reach $62 by December 31, 2026?