No position
Will Trump end DOGE in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.2
- Potential profit
- $12.2
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
MOrelon
0xa2bac0638db2021a9ca0aadf16951b28c010e182
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $104.14
- Realized PnL
- $20.01
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between May 25 and May 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10.35
- Potential payout
- $10.35
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will the December 2025 unemployment rate be ≤4.4%?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$8
No position
Critical Discord Incident by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $9.89
- Potential payout
- $9.89
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.89
No position
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $7.37
- Potential payout
- $7.37
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $7.07
- Potential payout
- $7.29
- Potential profit
- $0.22
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $7.09
- Potential payout
- $7.2
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $26B?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $6.2
- Potential payout
- $6.45
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $6.24
- Potential payout
- $6.38
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $25B?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $6.04
- Potential payout
- $6.2
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.68
- Potential payout
- $5.68
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $4.8
- Potential payout
- $5.68
- Potential profit
- $0.88
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $5.26
- Potential payout
- $5.38
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.3
- Potential payout
- $5.3
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will monthly inflation be between 2.7% and 2.9% in December?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.27
- Potential profit
- $5.27
- User PnL
- -$4.92
Yes position
Will CrowdStrike Q1 net new ARR be above $225M?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.22
- Potential payout
- $5.22
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.12
- Potential payout
- $5.12
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $30B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $4.36
- Potential payout
- $4.4
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $4.21
- Potential payout
- $4.26
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $3.96
- Potential payout
- $4.26
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Trump invokes the Insurrection Act before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.04
No position
Will CarMax (KMX) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?
Ends Oct 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85
No position
Will Elon Musk endorse the Big Beautiful Bill?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
No position
Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Will the next reconciliation bill be passed before July?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Jonathan Anderson joins Dior creative director before February?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in December?
Ends Dec 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Astini+5 position
Dota 2: Astini+5 vs LiXO eSports (BO3) - European Pro League Group A
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will the December 2025 unemployment rate be 4.7%?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will Netanyahu meet with MBS before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will the US add between 100k and 125k jobs in December?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Taylor Swift engaged in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will Gani Khan win Big Brother UK Series 22?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will Tesla name a new CEO before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will Elon tweet 215–229 times May 30–June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Han Duck-soo in jail by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
70°F in NYC in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
DeepSeek banned in US before April?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on May 29?No 97.7% 5.12 shares
- Human moon landing in 2026?No 96.8% 6.26 shares
- Will CrowdStrike Q1 net new ARR be above $225M?Yes 95.8% 5.22 shares
- Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by June 30?No 94% 4.26 shares
- Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $30B by June 30?No 91% 4.4 shares
- Critical Discord Incident by May 31?No 91% 9.89 shares
- Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?No 95% 7.37 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?No 94% 4.26 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between May 25 and May 31, 2026?No 96.6% 10.35 shares
- Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by June 30?No 94% 6.38 shares
- Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $26B?Yes 93% 6.45 shares
- Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $25B?Yes 96.8% 6.2 shares