Yes position
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $53.41
- Potential payout
- $218.01
- Potential profit
- $164.6
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$57.77
Polymarket Trader
xfm-4-3
0xa2c4be3447efb43d078820476d9928e44344ab04
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $53.41
- Realized PnL
- -$12.87
- Win rate
- 44.4%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112
No position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $37.8
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.8
Yes position
Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.8
No position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Deel IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$19
Yes position
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$59.21
Yes position
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$119
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes 57% 280 shares
- Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?Yes 10% 40.87 shares
- Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?Yes 11% 239.13 shares
- Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?Yes 32% 280 shares
- Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 70% 170 shares
- Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?Yes 51% 190 shares
- Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?No 99.8% 65 shares
- Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?No 99.9% 65 shares