No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $5.13K
- Potential payout
- $3.42M
- Potential profit
- $3.42M
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$800.05K
Polymarket Trader
0xA2cd4CcdA9A1f95949DF7A3355C4c2DAa0642Ba0-1729178570395
0xa2cd4ccda9a1f95949df7a3355c4c2daa0642ba0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.02M
- Realized PnL
- $98.23K
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $1.99M
- Potential payout
- $2.01M
- Potential profit
- $15.07K
- User PnL
- $9.92K
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.32M
- Potential payout
- $1.46M
- Potential profit
- $138.32K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $46.82K
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $686.16K
- Potential payout
- $691.69K
- Potential profit
- $5.53K
- User PnL
- $83.2K
Yes position
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.03K
- Potential profit
- $16.03K
- User PnL
- -$1.21K
No position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $6.36K
- Potential payout
- $6.73K
- Potential profit
- $373.47
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$311.92
No position
Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $6.23K
- Potential payout
- $6.38K
- Potential profit
- $143.46
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$130.74
Yes position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $3.44K
- Potential payout
- $4.35K
- Potential profit
- $914.12
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$397.02
No position
Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $2.19K
- Potential payout
- $2.28K
- Potential profit
- $86.64
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$27.94
Yes position
Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.36K
- Potential profit
- $1.36K
- User PnL
- -$129.82
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.18K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.52K
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.21K
Yes position
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.85K
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $557.66
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.76
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.76K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- -$18.34K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 19.5% 489,351.6 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 18% 202,430.88 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 17.1% 34,935.11 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 20% 14,164.21 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 19.6% 114.77 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 24.5% 277,504.9 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 20.4% 327,234.23 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 14.6% 39,282.86 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 24.2% 208,823.05 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 24.4% 29,289.21 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 35% 1,925 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 38.8% 121,200.86 shares