Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $664.35
- Potential payout
- $3.09K
- Potential profit
- $2.43K
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$108.84
Polymarket Trader
0xA2cF01420C4ec99Da2209ec0dCf5f683022E7C8e-1771704875510
0xa2cf01420c4ec99da2209ec0dcf5f683022e7c8e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $674.5
- Realized PnL
- $532.01
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.65
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.35
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $9.51
- Potential payout
- $38.8
- Potential profit
- $29.29
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $1.75
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$7.8
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $7.69
- User PnL
- -$0.69
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $258.28
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $80
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $32
Y
Yes position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.39
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.52
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 June 29-July 5?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Multiplier
- 13.61x
- User PnL
- $7.5
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down on February 24?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 24?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 24?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25.73
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes 28% 200 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes 84% 15 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes 80% 8.6 shares
- Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 1% 100 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No 25.5% 31.37 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 54% 18.52 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 24?Yes 0.4% 500 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?Yes 5.6% 535.71 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?No 98.9% 50.56 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes 39% 128.21 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?No 98.6% 3.04 shares