Polymarket Trader

FELICIOLLI01

0xa2dbde56d666d29e348905062ba280e034e4a60d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $581.32
Realized PnL: $961.07
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

St. Louis Cardinals position

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $322.59
Potential payout: $759.04
Potential profit: $436.45
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$299.82

Under position

Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Colombia O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $746.03
Potential profit: $746.03
User PnL: -$276.03

Monte position

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$180

HANJIN BRION position

LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$100

Misa Esports position

LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$355

T1 position

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$250

WLGaming Esports position

Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs WLGaming Esports (+1.5)

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$155

Over position

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $429
Potential profit: $429
User PnL: -$180.18

Team Nemesis position

Game Handicap: PlayTime (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $146.38
Potential profit: $146.38
User PnL: -$73.19

Yes position

Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLDE?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 10.6%
Current value: $10.55
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $89.45
Multiplier: 9.48x
User PnL: -$2.25

No position

Will Tyrrell Hatton finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 The Open Championship?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $38.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $11.75
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$7.25

Yes position

Will Jason De Puy be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 1)?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $1.13
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $48.88
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $0.53

Yes position

Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $0.9
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.1
Multiplier: 55.56x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 62%
Current value: $31
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $19
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: -$10.5

No position

US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.8%
Current value: $4.4
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $45.6
Multiplier: 11.36x
User PnL: -$0.55

Yes position

Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 7.8%
Current value: $3.9
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $46.1
Multiplier: 12.82x
User PnL: -$0.25

No position

Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-05 House seat?

Ends Nov 4, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $5.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $44.25
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party win the TX-24 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $6
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $44
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$5.5

No position

Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $38.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $11.25
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: -$6.85

No position

Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $42.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $7.75
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$3.25

No position

GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 90.2%
Current value: $45.1
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $4.9
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: -$0.1

No position

Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $20.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $29.25
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$20.75

No position

Will the Republican Party win the TN-07 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $6.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $43.75
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $43.5B by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $3.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $46.25
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$3.25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Minnesota Twins position

Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $420

Team Yandex position

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $264.5

KT Rolster position

LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $46.12

paiN Gaming position

LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23.65

PlayTime position

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.16

Jakub Mensik position

Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensik

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Over position

Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10

Al Okhdood SC position

Spread: Al Riyadh Saudi Club (-1.5)

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Raphael Collignon position

Roland Garros ATP: Raphael Collignon vs Ben Shelton

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Valentin Vacherot position

Roland Garros ATP: Thomas Faurel vs Valentin Vacherot

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

AC Milan position

Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10

DN SOOPers position

LoL: KT Rolster vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10

Washington Nationals position

Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10

Over position

Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Under position

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

San Francisco Giants position

San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10

Iga Swiatek position

Roland Garros WTA: Emerson Jones vs Iga Swiatek

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Seattle Mariners position

Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

AS Roma position

Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

BetBoom Team position

Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Ugo Humbert position

Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Ugo Humbert

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.42

HANJIN BRION position

LoL: Gen.G vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.85

Blake Ellis position

Tyler: Andres Martin vs Blake Ellis

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.36

Gentle Mates position

Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffs

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?

Yes 90% 50 shares
Abstract FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?

No 95% 33.65 shares
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?

No 90% 50 shares
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?

No 97% 5 shares
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-18 House seat?

Yes 88.3% 3 shares
Will the Republican Party win the CT-01 House seat?

No 94% 33 shares
Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?

Yes 80% 0.01 shares
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Draw at halftime?

No 59% 499.99 shares
Valorant: DRX Academy vs T1 Academy (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Season

T1 Academy 59% 260.61 shares
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winner

Team Resilience 57% 120.21 shares
Game Handicap: PlayTime (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)

Team Nemesis 5% 30 shares
Game Handicap: PlayTime (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)

Team Nemesis 3.8% 126.91 shares