Polymarket Trader

iwasmugen

0xa2dd739b2d2a27ad075dc886de18d7d22b4cd9b8

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $1.42K
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $270.98
Potential payout: $2.85K
Potential profit: $2.58K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$169.42

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $27.34
Potential payout: $1.56K
Potential profit: $1.54K
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: $2.34

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Ends Oct 28, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $121.94
Potential payout: $1.28K
Potential profit: $1.16K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$7.46

Yes position

Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 13.3%
Current value: $165.74
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.08K
Multiplier: 7.52x
User PnL: -$34.26

Yes position

Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $210.36
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $926.72
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$42.05

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $54.17
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $977.58
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: -$10.83

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $39.13
Potential payout: $869.47
Potential profit: $830.34
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$28.71

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $40.67
Potential payout: $746.27
Potential profit: $705.6
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: -$9.33

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15.4%
Current value: $103.96
Potential payout: $677.28
Potential profit: $573.32
Multiplier: 6.51x
User PnL: $44.96

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.6%
Current value: $50.72
Potential payout: $480.77
Potential profit: $430.05
Multiplier: 9.48x
User PnL: $0.72

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.9%
Current value: $36.34
Potential payout: $462.96
Potential profit: $426.62
Multiplier: 12.74x
User PnL: -$13.66

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $14.79
Potential payout: $428.57
Potential profit: $413.79
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: $5.79

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $45.26
Potential payout: $326.8
Potential profit: $281.54
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$4.74

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $57.54
Potential payout: $295.86
Potential profit: $238.31
Multiplier: 5.14x
User PnL: $7.54

Yes position

Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.9%
Current value: $16.31
Potential payout: $238.1
Potential profit: $221.79
Multiplier: 14.60x
User PnL: $1.31

Yes position

Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.1%
Current value: $12.53
Potential payout: $205.48
Potential profit: $192.95
Multiplier: 16.39x
User PnL: -$2.47

Yes position

Will Netherlands reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $18.17
Potential payout: $145.4
Potential profit: $127.22
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $3.17

Yes position

Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $20.02
Potential payout: $138.1
Potential profit: $118.07
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $10.63
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $114.38
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $0.63

Yes position

Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $14
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $86
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Colombia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $8.38
Potential payout: $88.24
Potential profit: $79.85
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$6.62

Yes position

Will Mexico reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $12.31
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $64.62
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: $2.31

Yes position

Will Germany reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $16.79
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $54.64
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$3.21

No position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 76.7%
Current value: $49.96
Potential payout: $65.18
Potential profit: $15.22
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: -$0.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

Yes 19% 257.63 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

No 76.7% 65.18 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Yes 10% 957.1 shares
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 29% 12.86 shares
Will Germany reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 41% 12.2 shares
Will Ivory Coast be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?

Yes 5.1% 155.13 shares
Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 15% 66.67 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 15% 60 shares
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 29% 31.03 shares
Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 63% 23.81 shares
Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 79% 25.32 shares
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 77% 32.47 shares