0xA2df1f4BC36407A3b065d0EF961005689f0dc7DC-1775571059107

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $2.32
Potential payout: $272.73
Potential profit: $270.41
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$0.68

No position

Will North Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $8.67
Potential payout: $244.77
Potential profit: $236.11
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: $1.67

Yes position

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $123.75
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: -$8.75

Yes position

Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.94
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $124.06
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $17.97
Potential payout: $116.28
Potential profit: $98.31
Multiplier: 6.47x
User PnL: -$2.03

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $4.23
Potential payout: $97.56
Potential profit: $93.33
Multiplier: 23.04x
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $11.21
Potential payout: $89.29
Potential profit: $78.08
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: $1.21

Yes position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $1.46
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $81.88
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$1.54

Yes position

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $3.93
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $67.5
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$1.07

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $11.51
Potential payout: $58.28
Potential profit: $46.77
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: $1.51

Yes position

E. Jean Carroll federally charged by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $2.6
Potential payout: $56.5
Potential profit: $53.9
Multiplier: 21.74x
User PnL: -$5.4

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 20.7%
Current value: $10.93
Potential payout: $52.91
Potential profit: $41.98
Multiplier: 4.84x
User PnL: $0.93

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $4.98
Potential payout: $42.37
Potential profit: $37.39
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $7.34
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $23.91
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$2.66

Yes position

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $6.15
Potential payout: $16.39
Potential profit: $10.25
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $5.25
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $4.75
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $1.85

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $1.37
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.64
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?

Implied probability: 16.3%
Current value: $1.55
Potential payout: $9.52
Potential profit: $7.97
Multiplier: 6.13x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will Trump say "Yips" in June?

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $1.85
Potential payout: $6.06
Potential profit: $4.21
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$0.15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $20.77

Yes position

Will Trump say "Russia" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.48

Yes position

Will Trump say "Eight Wars" or "Eighth War" during TPUSA events on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.24

Yes position

Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.67

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.73

Yes position

Will Trump post "Pope" or "Leo" on Truth Social this week?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.62

Yes position

Will Bernie or Mamdani say "Coffee" during NYC rally?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.04

Yes position

Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Draw at halftime?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.59

Yes position

Will Trump say "Assassin" or "Assassinate" during TPUSA events on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.4

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Yes position

Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.53

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.97

Yes position

Will Trump say "Hottest" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.28

Yes position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.17

Yes position

Will Trump say "Fake News" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.08

No position

Will Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.4

Yes position

Will Trump say "Fat" at The Villages on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.13

Yes position

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.81

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.8

Yes position

Will Trump say "Hottest" during TPUSA events on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.47

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.27

Yes position

Will Kevin Warsh say "Global" during Nomination Hearing?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.17

Yes position

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 2.6%
Multiplier: 39.22x
User PnL: $1.89

Yes position

Will Trump say "Win" or "Won" 3+ times during No Tax on Tips Roundtable?