Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.3%
- Current value
- $29.84
- Potential payout
- $155
- Potential profit
- $125.16
- Multiplier
- 5.19x
- User PnL
- $17.28
Polymarket Trader
JinglingCornDog
0xa2e08e67e3f780f6700c8304a17b09c82fa8964a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $73.06
- Realized PnL
- $32.47
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $80
- User PnL
- -$2.48
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $43.22
- Potential payout
- $45
- Potential profit
- $1.78
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $35
- User PnL
- -$1.3
No position
Will "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $22
- User PnL
- -$20.59
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.48
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.31
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.86
Yes position
Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.52
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.56
Yes position
Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.51
Yes position
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.32
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29
Yes position
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.68
Yes position
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 1%
- Multiplier
- 100.00x
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will Kuwait strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Yes position
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
Yes position
Will "The Boroughs" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will Russell Henley win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 23?Yes 8.1% 89 shares
- Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?Yes 96.9% 31 shares
- Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No 3.7% 35 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on May 23?Yes 3.1% 48.51 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No 96.2% 34 shares
- Will Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes 8.6% 20.1 shares
- Will Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes 8.4% 16 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?No 98.4% 79 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?No 97.4% 88 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?No 97.3% 88 shares
- Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?Yes 1.8% 16 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?No 93.5% 91 shares