Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $14.46
- Potential payout
- $93.27
- Potential profit
- $78.81
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $4.46
Polymarket Trader
0xa2ed...9d98
0xa2eded4da718244771d4f2b7810da45533de9d98
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $194.36
- Realized PnL
- $1.47K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $3.92
- Potential payout
- $60.38
- Potential profit
- $56.46
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$11.77
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $23.39
- Potential payout
- $32.26
- Potential profit
- $8.87
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $3.39
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 66%
- Current value
- $17.37
- Potential payout
- $26.32
- Potential profit
- $8.95
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- -$2.63
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $23.49
- Potential payout
- $23.53
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $3.49
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $19.66
- Potential payout
- $22.99
- Potential profit
- $3.33
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.34
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $19.54
- Potential payout
- $22.86
- Potential profit
- $3.31
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $22.42
- Potential profit
- $22.36
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.94
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $6.47
- Potential payout
- $21.2
- Potential profit
- $14.73
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$11.34
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 53%
- Current value
- $10.39
- Potential payout
- $19.61
- Potential profit
- $9.22
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $18.73
- Potential profit
- $18.72
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.64
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 49%
- Current value
- $7.75
- Potential payout
- $15.82
- Potential profit
- $8.07
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- -$2.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $12.04
- Potential payout
- $12.05
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $2.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $8.84
- Potential payout
- $11.79
- Potential profit
- $2.95
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.18
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $8.41
- Potential payout
- $10.99
- Potential profit
- $2.58
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$1.59
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $5.72
- Potential payout
- $7.94
- Potential profit
- $2.22
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- -$1.51
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 28%
- Current value
- $1.65
- Potential payout
- $5.88
- Potential profit
- $4.23
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $3.95
- Potential payout
- $4.84
- Potential profit
- $0.9
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.65
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $4.3
- Potential payout
- $4.3
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.96
- Potential payout
- $2.96
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.93
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $219.22
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.87
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.78
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.86
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.7
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.42
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.37
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.57
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.24
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.72
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.82
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.92
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.67
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.77
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.35
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.92
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.68
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $34.21
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.96
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.01
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C or higher on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.71
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.81
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 18?No 31% 1.8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 18?No 85% 11.76 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 18?No 80% 0.91 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 18?No 80% 1.8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 18?No 80% 9.01 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 18?No 80% 0.9 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on June 18?Yes 51% 19.61 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 18?No 89% 3.05 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 19?No 87% 11.49 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 19?No 87% 11.49 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 18?No 91% 10.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 18?No 63.2% 15.82 shares