Polymarket Trader

0xa2F47E796852328EAebAf3BfCFc708ffDa6cf6Bf-1769864260271

0xa2f47e796852328eaebaf3bfcfc708ffda6cf6bf

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.42
Realized PnL: $4.79
Win rate: 80%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.2%
Current value: $1.76
Potential payout: $12.35
Potential profit: $10.59
Multiplier: 7.02x
User PnL: $0.76

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.4%
Current value: $1.27
Potential payout: $10.31
Potential profit: $9.04
Multiplier: 8.10x
User PnL: $0.27

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $1.23
Potential payout: $6.21
Potential profit: $4.98
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $0.85
Potential payout: $6.17
Potential profit: $5.32
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$0.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.44
Potential profit: $4.44
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $4
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $2.31
Potential payout: $2.33
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $1.31

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.17
Potential profit: $2.17
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.57

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.51

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 8, 2026?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.07

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.69

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.81

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.1% 6.21 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.1% 12.35 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9.7% 10.31 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.2% 6.17 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Up 78% 1.28 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Down 45% 2.22 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Down 87% 1.15 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Down 50% 4 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Down 74% 3.38 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Up 45% 4.44 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Down 59% 3.39 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Down 85% 2.35 shares