Yes position
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $292.5
- Potential payout
- $45K
- Potential profit
- $44.71K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$22.5
Polymarket Trader
tiburcio
0xa2f4968c8823aad5ca2f337753ed7a399d893b52
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.01K
- Realized PnL
- $4.12K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $247
- Potential payout
- $38K
- Potential profit
- $37.75K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$19
Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $472.01
- Potential payout
- $8.91K
- Potential profit
- $8.43K
- Multiplier
- 18.87x
- User PnL
- -$8.91
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.51K
Yes position
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $184.8
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $75.92
No position
US forces in Venezuela by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.1
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.07
No position
Will Elon tweet 550–574 times August 8–August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.39
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.14
Yes position
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $36.5
Yes position
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.9%
- Multiplier
- 5.04x
- User PnL
- $15.59
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.8
Yes position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.56
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.48
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 85-86°F on August 17?
Ends Aug 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.65
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.76
Yes position
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $9.29
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.76
No position
Will KrF win the fourth most seats in the Norway election?
Ends Sep 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 71-72°F on August 16?
Ends Aug 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.74
No position
Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $120K and $121K on August 16 at 5PM ET?
Ends Aug 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26
No position
Will Rameshbabu Praggnanandhaa win the 2025 FIDE Grand Swiss chess tournament?
Ends Sep 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 5.4% 8,905.88 shares
- Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 0.5% 40,000 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 98.6% 305.81 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 80% 615.44 shares
- Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 0.7% 45,000 shares
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 0.7% 38,000 shares
- Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 0.7% 36,500 shares
- Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 0.7% 40,000 shares
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2BetBoom Team 20% 6.5 shares
- Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 0.6% 28,000 shares
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffs100 Thieves 77% 383 shares
- Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 0.6% 32,000 shares