No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $3.51
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.4K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.35K
Polymarket Trader
cplyrcmol2
0xa2f75d5ba0cf3e9289d4c290374936a8bc1c10d3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.99K
- Realized PnL
- $1.56K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Current value
- $1.12K
- Potential payout
- $1.18K
- Potential profit
- $54.71
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $121.77
No position
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $951.52
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $148.5
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$48.47
No position
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Current value
- $778.86
- Potential payout
- $825.5
- Potential profit
- $46.64
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$21.14
No position
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $327.58
- Potential payout
- $753.06
- Potential profit
- $425.48
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$172.42
No position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $709.23
- Potential payout
- $709.58
- Potential profit
- $0.35
- User PnL
- $240.2
No position
Megaquake by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $373.76
- Potential payout
- $393.43
- Potential profit
- $19.67
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $23.76
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $308.72
- Potential payout
- $348.84
- Potential profit
- $40.12
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $8.72
No position
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $301.69
- Potential payout
- $337.08
- Potential profit
- $35.39
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1.69
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $114.2
- Potential payout
- $116.12
- Potential profit
- $1.92
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $19.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230.37
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $193.33
No position
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $172.63
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.6
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.94
No position
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.86
Nothing position
Nothing Ever Happens: May
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.5
No position
Major US official out by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.5
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.59
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.71
No position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.4
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.63
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 major space weather events this week?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.29
Yes position
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.95
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.53
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.06
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.11
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.97
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.72
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $205 on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.27
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.7
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.91
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 major space weather events this week?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.48
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.81
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 17?No 66.1% 709.58 shares
- Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?Yes 99.3% 477.55 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on June 14?No 96.6% 473.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on June 13?No 89.6% 457.36 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 96.2% 1,403.95 shares
- Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?Yes 96.7% 413.5 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?No 93.5% 1,749.6 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?No 98.2% 582.48 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 5?No 98.3% 571.97 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on June 3?No 99.1% 211.93 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 3?No 94.8% 41.14 shares
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No 86% 348.84 shares