Polymarket Trader

mvrkgp

0xa2fc7850ae3fcfd17a0aa671fbc6529a66834324

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $946.81
Realized PnL: $1.43K
Win rate: 95.8%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5AM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.34K
Potential profit: $1.34K
User PnL: -$76.07

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $628
Potential payout: $628
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $101.76

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11PM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $511.72
Potential profit: $511.72
User PnL: -$274.75

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $180
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $10.8

Yes position

Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.75% and 4.49%?

Ends Jan 12, 2027

Implied probability: 29.4%
Current value: $38.82
Potential payout: $132.28
Potential profit: $93.46
Multiplier: 3.41x
User PnL: $36.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $129.48
Potential profit: $129.48
User PnL: -$119.12

Yes position

Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 11?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$80

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $99.99
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.63
Potential profit: $53.63
User PnL: -$26.81

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $436.63

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on December 4?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $217.21

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $172.39

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7AM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.43

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 3?

Ends Dec 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10AM ET

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 10?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 24?

Ends Dec 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9AM ET

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.35

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.4

Yes position

Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 29?

Ends Dec 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 9?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.71

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 30?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.03

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.94

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 10?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.69

Yes position

U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 13?

Ends Dec 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

No position

Will India strike Pakistan by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.88

No position

Will India strike Pakistan by Dec 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.15

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 11?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.72

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11PM ET

Down 27.1% 138.27 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11PM ET

Down 36% 50 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11PM ET

Down 51% 100 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11PM ET

Down 50% 100 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11PM ET

Down 57% 100 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11PM ET

Down 65% 100 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11PM ET

Down 67% 100 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 27?

No 84% 500 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 27?

No 83% 120 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 26?

No 94% 18 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10AM ET

Down 38% 150 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10AM ET

Down 46% 16 shares