Polymarket Trader

fafaya

0xa2fef7b62d03ec9baacaf6b089588aef7e714da8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $508.98
Realized PnL: $358.05
Win rate: 95.8%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $19.45
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $80.55
Multiplier: 5.14x
User PnL: $3.35

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.6%
Current value: $10.55
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $89.45
Multiplier: 9.48x
User PnL: -$0.55

No position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 92.2%
Current value: $92.15
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $7.85
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $1.85

No position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 80.6%
Current value: $80.55
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $19.45
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$3.25

No position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $19.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $80.5
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $13.85
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $86.15
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$2.25

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.9%
Current value: $7.85
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $92.15
Multiplier: 12.74x
User PnL: -$1.75

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $19.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $80.5
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 86.2%
Current value: $86.14
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $13.85
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $2.35

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 54%
Current value: $32.4
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $27.6
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: -$9

No position

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $49.99
User PnL: -$28.99

Eagles position

49ers vs. Eagles

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.86
Potential profit: $42.86
User PnL: -$30

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $40
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $3.2

Yes position

Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-01-10?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.76
Potential profit: $36.76
User PnL: -$25

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $30
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $4.2

No position

Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $26.55
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $3.45
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $7.95

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.2%
Current value: $27.96
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $2.04
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$1.11

No position

Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $2.52
Potential payout: $2.54
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.43

Down position

Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on April 9?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.47
Potential profit: $1.47
User PnL: -$0.9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.4

No position

US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36

Magic position

Pelicans vs. Magic

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.34

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.93

Yes position

Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.54

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.4

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22

Grizzlies position

Nets vs. Grizzlies

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.6

No position

Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.57

Bublik position

Hong Kong Tennis Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alexander Bublik

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.55

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $5

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $4.8

Up position

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on April 9?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.5

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.4

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.9

No position

GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.5

No position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Down position

Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on April 9?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $0.1

Down position

Meta (META) Up or Down on April 9?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 1.9% 1,000 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 64% 60 shares
Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 31, 2026?

No 76.6% 28.06 shares
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?

No 64% 100 shares
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Yes 99% 100 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

Down 51% 56.11 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

Down 61% 59.15 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

Down 42.3% 123.77 shares
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Yes 71.7% 90.32 shares
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Yes 76% 100 shares
Nets vs. Grizzlies

Grizzlies 70% 50 shares
Pelicans vs. Magic

Magic 70% 50 shares