podosome12

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.91K
Potential profit: $6.91K
User PnL: -$604.99

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?

Implied probability: 22.7%
Current value: $724.8
Potential payout: $3.2K
Potential profit: $2.48K
Multiplier: 4.42x
User PnL: $24.92

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June?

Implied probability: 6.3%
Current value: $107.1
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $1.59K
Multiplier: 15.87x
User PnL: $13.6

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $643.25
Potential payout: $1.16K
Potential profit: $515.76
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: -$67.38

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $23.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $976.5
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $275
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $725
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$205

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $22.5
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $977.49
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $287.59
Potential payout: $618.48
Potential profit: $330.89
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $188.64

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $414.43
Potential payout: $605
Potential profit: $190.58
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: -$2.92

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 93.6%
Current value: $561.3
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $38.7
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$7.89

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $507
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $93
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$30.55

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $508.05
Potential payout: $561.38
Potential profit: $53.33
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $2.81

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $480.29
Potential payout: $542.7
Potential profit: $62.41
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$9.18

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $374.61
Potential payout: $531.36
Potential profit: $156.75
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $41.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on May 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $515.25
Potential profit: $515.25
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $66.16
Potential payout: $400.97
Potential profit: $334.81
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$6.02

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $17.45
Potential payout: $392.16
Potential profit: $374.71
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: -$2.55

Yes position

Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-09?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $392.16
Potential profit: $392.16
User PnL: -$70

Yes position

Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $386.67
Potential profit: $386.67
User PnL: -$290

Yes position

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $55.36
Potential payout: $357.14
Potential profit: $301.79
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$44.64

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Implied probability: 27%
Current value: $90.05
Potential payout: $333.53
Potential profit: $243.48
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: -$6.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $253
Potential profit: $253
User PnL: -$191.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 1?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250.35
Potential profit: $250.35
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on May 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $205.45
Potential profit: $205.45
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on May 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $192.04
Potential profit: $192.04
User PnL: -$120

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $33.33
Potential payout: $190.48
Potential profit: $157.14
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$46.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $188.31
Potential profit: $188.31
User PnL: -$129.93

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $95.82
Potential payout: $169.62
Potential profit: $73.8
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$15.18

Yes position

Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $165.3
Potential profit: $165.3
User PnL: -$141.56

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $152.19
Potential profit: $152.19
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $132.66
Potential profit: $132.66
User PnL: -$66.33

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $130
User PnL: -$104

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 13.3%
Current value: $16.26
Potential payout: $122.7
Potential profit: $106.44
Multiplier: 7.55x
User PnL: -$3.74

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $22.5
Potential payout: $121.95
Potential profit: $99.45
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Will Anthony Albanese be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

Ends Sep 23, 2028

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $43.05
Potential payout: $114.8
Potential profit: $71.75
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: -$16.94

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $114.09
Potential profit: $114.09
User PnL: -$75

Yes position

Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $124 in June?

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $9.54
Potential payout: $106
Potential profit: $96.46
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$23.32

Yes position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 in May?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$51

No position

Will "People" be said 200+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 15?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $53.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $46.5
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$26.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $94.81
Potential profit: $94.81
User PnL: -$37.56

Yes position

Will Trump say "Silicon Valley" this week?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.52
Potential profit: $76.52
User PnL: -$17

Yes position

Will Warsh say "Economy" or "Economics" or "Economic" 3+ times during swearing-in?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71
Potential profit: $71
User PnL: -$63.19

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5AM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$47.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4AM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.5
Potential profit: $59.5
User PnL: -$49.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.26
Potential profit: $57.26
User PnL: -$32

Yes position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $225 on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$27

Down position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$30.5

Yes position

Will MrBeast say "Briefcase" or "Suitcase" during his next YouTube video?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.57
Potential profit: $48.57
User PnL: -$17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8AM ET

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.51
Potential profit: $48.51
User PnL: -$24.26

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $420

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $340

No position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $255.17

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $183.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168.44

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $166.93

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160.75

Yes position

Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.64

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.07

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

Implied probability: 99.3%
User PnL: $81.57

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.16

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.92

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.38

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.87

Up position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.53

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3AM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.52

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.53

Up position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.55

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.44

Yes position

Will "Comparison" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.93

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.74

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.29

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.68

Yes position

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 20?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.13

Up position

DAX (DAX) Up or Down on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.64

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?