Polymarket Trader

sphinxshen

0xa3232882259f68c9dc8810d6bc16150bee1364ca

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.28K
Realized PnL: $251.91
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $1.83K
Potential payout: $8.53K
Potential profit: $6.7K
Multiplier: 4.66x
User PnL: $828.89

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.19K
Potential profit: $8.19K
User PnL: -$699.99

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $450.45
Potential payout: $3.25K
Potential profit: $2.8K
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: $350.45

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.74K
Potential profit: $1.74K
User PnL: -$50

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 26?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.67K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $977.21
Potential profit: $977.21
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $936.61
Potential profit: $936.61
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $776.94
Potential profit: $776.94
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $769.23
Potential profit: $769.23
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $515.46
Potential profit: $515.46
User PnL: -$50

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.95
Potential profit: $499.95
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $342.42
Potential profit: $342.42
User PnL: -$28.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.84
Potential profit: $24.84
User PnL: -$4.97

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $191.23

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.95

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.77

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: November

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.11

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.67

Yes position

Will Google reach $300 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$43.8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 21.9% 2,283.11 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Down 20% 24.84 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Up 2% 499.95 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 26?

Up 0.6% 1,667.71 shares
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Yes 12.9% 776.94 shares
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Yes 4.4% 4,547.9 shares
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Yes 13.7% 3,643.73 shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 3.1% 3,252.35 shares
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?

Yes 9.7% 515.46 shares
Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?

Yes 2.9% 1,739.92 shares
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Yes 8.4% 342.42 shares
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Yes 30.7% 977.21 shares