Y
Yes position
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.2%
- Current value
- $172.76
- Potential payout
- $452.24
- Potential profit
- $279.48
- Multiplier
- 2.62x
- User PnL
- -$40.21
Polymarket Trader
0xa33b...17d4
0xa33ba3d63ffbf6a7429703591274e0285ad817d4
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $258.04
- Realized PnL
- $2.11K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will 150-174 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 30%
- Current value
- $85.29
- Potential payout
- $284.29
- Potential profit
- $199
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- -$14.71
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $461.61
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $261.96
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171.27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.54
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.03
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.62
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 6°C on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.64
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9PM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.37
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.1
Down position
Solana Up or Down - April 20, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.83
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.47
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9PM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.81
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.59
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 7°C on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.44
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7PM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.44
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7PM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.39
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8PM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.84
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.24
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.38
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7PM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.74
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETUp 22% 90.91 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETDown 22.9% 119.6 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETDown 15% 119.6 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETUp 53.3% 139.56 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETUp 52% 186.08 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETUp 54% 92.59 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ETUp 41% 109.76 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ETDown 32.4% 76.19 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ETDown 42% 76.19 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ETDown 93% 107.14 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ETDown 28% 107.14 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETUp 57.7% 86.95 shares