Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C or higher on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- User PnL
- -$6
Polymarket Trader
Altergora
0xa33d25630fb8b779ea9744bc6dfab536272f3ef2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $477.39
- Realized PnL
- $1.35K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $25.29
- Potential payout
- $153.28
- Potential profit
- $127.99
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$75.71
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C or higher on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $91.37
- Potential profit
- $91.37
- User PnL
- -$1.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $77.86
- Potential profit
- $77.86
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $9.19
- Potential payout
- $73.53
- Potential profit
- $64.34
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$15.81
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $68.2
- Potential profit
- $68.2
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.76
- Potential profit
- $63.76
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $43.71
- Potential payout
- $60.71
- Potential profit
- $17
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- $3.71
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $38.89
- Potential payout
- $59.37
- Potential profit
- $20.48
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.11
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.97
- Potential profit
- $55.97
- User PnL
- -$37.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $26.11
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $29.44
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- -$13.89
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.6%
- Current value
- $46.27
- Potential payout
- $54.69
- Potential profit
- $8.42
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $11.27
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.8%
- Current value
- $36.41
- Potential payout
- $53.74
- Potential profit
- $17.33
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- -$3.59
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $37.48
- Potential payout
- $52.42
- Potential profit
- $14.94
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- -$2.52
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $33.17
- Potential payout
- $52.24
- Potential profit
- $19.07
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- -$1.83
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.4
- Potential profit
- $51.4
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $44.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $5.75
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $9.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $39.36
- Potential payout
- $49.51
- Potential profit
- $10.15
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $9.36
No position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $29.19
- Potential payout
- $43.24
- Potential profit
- $14.05
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- -$0.81
No position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $41.08
- Potential payout
- $41.1
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $11.08
No position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $27
- Potential payout
- $39.14
- Potential profit
- $12.14
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $38.46
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.88
- Potential profit
- $37.88
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C or below on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.03
- Potential profit
- $36.03
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $234.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.33
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.91
Yes position
Will Kim Sang-wook win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.76
Yes position
Will Forhad Hussain win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.19
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.55
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.34
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.94
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.51
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.44
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.39
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.9
Yes position
Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.63
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.42
Yes position
Will Derek Merrin be the Republican nominee for OH-09?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.95
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.78
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.74
Yes position
Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.19
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.81
Yes position
Will Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.14
Yes position
Will Brian Poindexter be the Democratic nominee for OH-07?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.51
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on June 25?No 76.3% 52.42 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on June 25?No 73.1% 34.22 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on June 25?No 60% 33.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 25?No 69.4% 43.24 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on June 25?No 67.4% 59.37 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 26?No 65.9% 60.71 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 25?No 65% 23.08 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on June 25?No 72% 55.56 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 25?No 71% 35.21 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 25?No 60.6% 49.51 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on June 25?No 74.4% 53.74 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 25?No 67% 29.85 shares