Polymarket Trader

BigDawg

0xa34095f963da0dd7fda44e4a8b93d4aa2b1a0c23

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $85.98
Realized PnL: $289.08
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $6.2
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $393.8
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$1.8

No position

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $41.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $8.75
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $14.75

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $11.13
Potential payout: $11.9
Potential profit: $0.77
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $1.13

No position

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $9.72
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.29
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $9.69
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.31
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.55

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $8
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.28

Alaska position

Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.78

Yes position

Will Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.28

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?

Ends Dec 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.28

No position

Will Donald Trump say "fentanyl" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16

No position

Will Trump say "Kennedy" or "Autism" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.6

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.74

Yes position

Xi Jinping out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.68

No position

2024 October hottest on record?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.47

Yes position

Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-05-07?

Ends May 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.6

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?

Ends Mar 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.92

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.5

Yes position

Price of eggs goes up in Trump's first month?

Ends Apr 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

Yes position

Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-19?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.82

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.8

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.2

No position

Will Trump say "Iran" during King Charles visit?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7

Sinner position

Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Djokovic

Ends Jul 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.67

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.22-1.26ºC in April 2025?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.61

No position

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.2

No position

Maduro mugshot released by January 9?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?

No 89% 10 shares
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?

Yes 3.8% 30 shares
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?

No 81% 10 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

No 61% 20 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Up 75% 25.71 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET

Down 99% 10.09 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Up 77% 6.28 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Up 80.1% 12.12 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Down 78% 4.97 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

Up 82% 5.94 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

Up 47% 3.93 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Up 81% 6 shares