N
No position
Will Donald Trump attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $1.4K
- Potential payout
- $1.45K
- Potential profit
- $41.92
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $144.48
Polymarket Trader
Roeman
0xa34429d549f23fe45a9ca5442b79b365cd2f8141
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.69K
- Realized PnL
- $4.87K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.8%
- Current value
- $1.12K
- Potential payout
- $1.26K
- Potential profit
- $141.4
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $55.67
Yes position
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $835
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $165
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$18.82
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $699.95
- Potential payout
- $799.94
- Potential profit
- $99.99
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $103.19
Yes position
Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.7%
- Current value
- $609.31
- Potential payout
- $657.64
- Potential profit
- $48.34
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $6.4
No position
Will USD reach 2.0M Iranian rials by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $476.16
- Potential payout
- $489.37
- Potential profit
- $13.21
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $12.35
No position
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $303.49
- Potential payout
- $449.62
- Potential profit
- $146.13
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $228.92
Yes position
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $141.37
- Potential payout
- $448.78
- Potential profit
- $307.42
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$211.89
Yes position
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on May 22?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $209
- Potential profit
- $209
- User PnL
- -$114.04
Yes position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $9.1
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $190.9
- Multiplier
- 21.98x
- User PnL
- -$29.8
Yes position
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $7.15
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $102.85
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$33.85
Yes position
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $80
- User PnL
- -$21.6
Yes position
U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $64.8
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $15.2
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $8
Yes position
Will Trump say "Stock Market" during Coast Guard event?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.78
- Potential profit
- $54.78
- User PnL
- -$29.85
Yes position
Will Trump say "Ballroom" during Coast Guard event?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.07
- Potential profit
- $39.07
- User PnL
- -$21.31
Yes position
Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 6.5
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $35
- User PnL
- -$17.5
Yes position
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $21.32
- Potential payout
- $29
- Potential profit
- $7.68
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $1.02
No position
US military draft authorized in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $3.74
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $0.26
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.74
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $714.95
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.8%
- Multiplier
- 4.04x
- User PnL
- $337.5
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $330.49
Yes position
Trump x Zelenskyy talk before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $296.36
Yes position
Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $226.82
Yes position
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $211.77
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $206.65
Yes position
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190.46
No position
Will USD reach 2.0M Iranian rials by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185.71
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $173.13
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $170.64
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.98
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $162.89
No position
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on March 19?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.65
Yes position
Trump's birthright citizenship ban unblocked before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $158.53
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $157.65
No position
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on March 11?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $157.17
Yes position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.7
Yes position
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on May 4?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.39
Yes position
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.37
No position
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 28?
Ends May 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.64
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 24, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.04
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $111.42
No position
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 85% 12 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No 99.9% 60.1 shares
- Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 86% 500 shares
- Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 84.8% 500 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 81% 127.63 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 80.8% 154.56 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 89.9% 62.65 shares
- Trump meets with Putin by December 31?No 64% 67.38 shares
- Will Trump and Putin not meet?No 37% 67 shares
- Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?No 38% 5 shares
- Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 56% 5 shares
- Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 57% 5 shares