N
No position
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $955
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $45
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $55
Polymarket Trader
Donden
0xa35ee0bf0befb73c2de35ba4d2977bd143bf0188
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.91K
- Realized PnL
- $23.89K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $953
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $47
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $26
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $989.87
- Potential profit
- $989.87
- User PnL
- -$108.27
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.31K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.31K
No position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.09K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
Yes position
Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
No position
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
No position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $749.35
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $612.62
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $572.9
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $544.09
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $462.36
Yes position
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $453.8
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $399.23
No position
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $342.76
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $280
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $260
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $240.45
Yes position
Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $186.22
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $175.49
Yes position
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $175.4
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.09
No position
Over $6M committed to the Fluent public sale?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.83
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $141.73
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?Yes 17% 499.99 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?No 87% 1,000 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?No 88% 1,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 13.6% 232.2 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 6% 15,264.96 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 13.3% 12,159 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 16.2% 6,220.6 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 26.6% 16,759 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 26.9% 18,557.24 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 67% 3,500 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 93% 10,578 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 98.5% 7,943 shares