Polymarket Trader

opp22

0xa3774ebae2fe31d065f7e23c5cbd499a822ea2cc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $17.48
Realized PnL: $1.22K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Reza Pirzadeh be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $442.02
Potential profit: $442.02
User PnL: -$5.55

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $436.67
Potential profit: $436.67
User PnL: -$3.93

Yes position

Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $369.18
Potential profit: $369.18
User PnL: -$4.71

Yes position

Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.67
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $331.67
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $4.48
Potential payout: $271.33
Potential profit: $266.86
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$1.43

Yes position

Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.13
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $2.36
Potential payout: $205.48
Potential profit: $203.12
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$1.64

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

US strike on Mexico by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $178
Potential profit: $178
User PnL: -$19.59

Yes position

Exact Score: Iraq 3 - 2 Norway?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $120
User PnL: -$3

Grizzlies position

Grizzlies vs. Nuggets

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $114.18
Potential profit: $114.18
User PnL: -$1.94

Yes position

Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $107.92
Potential profit: $107.92
User PnL: -$5

Warriors position

Timberwolves vs. Warriors

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $103.81
Potential profit: $103.81
User PnL: -$4.67

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $2.63
Potential payout: $103.45
Potential profit: $100.82
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$0.37

No position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.66
Potential profit: $102.66
User PnL: -$28.68

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 3 Norway?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.86
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.05
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $4.61
Potential payout: $83.79
Potential profit: $79.19
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$14.67

Yes position

Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $82.67
Potential profit: $82.67
User PnL: -$3.96

Yes position

Exact Score: Iraq 3 - 3 Norway?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Exact Score: Austria 3 - 2 Jordan?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the US strike Syria next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $546.17

Knicks position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.75

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $45.99

Yes position

Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.42

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.77

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.51

No position

U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.4

No position

No US strike on Syria in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.33

Nuggets position

Nuggets vs. 76ers

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.29

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.97

Yes position

Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Bosnia and Herzegovina?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.32

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $22.32

Demoor position

Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.04

Wizards position

Wizards vs. Pistons

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.25

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Suns position

Thunder vs. Suns

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.93

Yes position

Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.26

Clippers position

Clippers vs. Pistons

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.09

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.87

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.82

No position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.93

No position

Will Trump say "Hottest" during Tribute to America Rally?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.79

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.46

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Norway?

Yes 7% 28.57 shares
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 1.5% 68.82 shares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

No 17.5% 11.43 shares
England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?

Yes 18.3% 21.91 shares
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?

No 10.8% 27.78 shares
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Belgium?

Yes 8% 25 shares
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 0.6% 333.33 shares
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 0.4% 250 shares
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 3 Norway?

Yes 2.1% 47.62 shares
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 3 Norway?

Yes 1.1% 90.91 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.9% 103.45 shares
Will Trump say "Hottest" during Tribute to America Rally?

No 19% 15.79 shares