Polymarket Trader

0xa37a...a9e7

0xa37a2bd25e985179d20b2e5add2a9ada5edca9e7

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $3.8K
Realized PnL: $16.41K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $190
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.81K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$1.19K

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $1.38K
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $17.5
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $440.5

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1K
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $280

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $812.39
Potential payout: $819.36
Potential profit: $6.96
User PnL: $186.11

No position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $386.72
Potential payout: $427.31
Potential profit: $40.59
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $134.6

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $324.39
Potential profit: $324.39
User PnL: -$58.86

Yes position

Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $1.8
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $198.2
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$10.2

Yes position

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $10.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $89.5
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$9.5

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $4.13
Potential payout: $55.12
Potential profit: $50.98
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$5.56

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$10.4

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $6.23
Potential payout: $17.55
Potential profit: $11.32
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $4.3

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $1.89
Potential payout: $13.84
Potential profit: $11.95
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $3.83
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $1.17
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.4
Multiplier: 8.37x
User PnL: -$2.72

Yes position

Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.37
Potential profit: $2.37
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $2.37
Potential profit: $2.35
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.37
Potential profit: $2.37
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.37
Potential profit: $2.37
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.9%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $2.37
Potential profit: $2.06
Multiplier: 7.78x
User PnL: $0.26

Yes position

Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.37
Potential profit: $2.37
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $2.37
Potential profit: $2.36
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $0.28
Potential payout: $2.37
Potential profit: $2.09
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $0.24

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $2.37
Potential profit: $2.33
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $2.37
Potential profit: $2.33
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.42K

Yes position

Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.27K

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85K

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51K

Yes position

Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4K

Yes position

Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $672.37

Yes position

Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $541.9

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $539.3

Yes position

Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $479.76

Yes position

Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $478.6

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $476

Yes position

Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $447.27

Yes position

Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $420.75

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $390

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $367.06

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $322.47

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $300

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $277.15

Yes position

Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $275

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $254.64

No position

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200.54

Yes position

USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192.98

No position

DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $169.17

Yes position

Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.19

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?

Yes 1.4% 100 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Yes 5% 1,519.67 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 15.3% 6.54 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 15.4% 6.48 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 15.3% 6.54 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 15.9% 6.29 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 16% 6.25 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?

Yes 56% 50 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 84% 2.37 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17% 11.47 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?

Yes 11% 17.55 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by June 12?

Yes 39% 13.16 shares