No position
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $49.38
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $0.63
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.38
Polymarket Trader
MoonlightPier
0xa38cb63309ca3960a9dec705b55542a823981ce1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $49.38
- Realized PnL
- $29.43
- Win rate
- 94.1%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.23
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.57
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.42
Clippers position
Clippers vs. Bucks
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
Nuggets position
Warriors vs. Nuggets
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Trail Blazers position
Wizards vs. Trail Blazers
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will the Liberal Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025–26 La Liga?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.53
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?No 96% 50 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 85.6% 52.57 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 90% 52.74 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 91% 52.75 shares
- Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?Yes 99.2% 48.39 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?No 96.7% 49.79 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?No 96.4% 49.79 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 95.3% 49.47 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 95% 49.47 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 97.1% 48.83 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 94.2% 48.83 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 30?No 98.4% 18.3 shares