Polymarket Trader

Nightfr

0xa38e3ee734ca54ee2c926c6dfccd0392c28b5062

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $874.99
Realized PnL: $2.1K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.4%
Current value: $123.5
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $876.49
Multiplier: 8.10x
User PnL: -$45.5

Yes position

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $342
Potential payout: $900
Potential profit: $558
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: -$36

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16.7%
Current value: $83.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $416.75
Multiplier: 6.01x
User PnL: $41.75

Yes position

Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?

Ends Apr 16, 2027

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $54.97
Potential payout: $439.75
Potential profit: $384.78
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$138.52

Messi position

World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $194.7
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $5.3
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $10.7

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 36.7%
Current value: $70
Potential payout: $191
Potential profit: $121
Multiplier: 2.73x
User PnL: $35.81

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?

Ends May 30, 2027

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $6.57
Potential payout: $59.7
Potential profit: $53.13
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: $1.19

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $406.85

Juan Manuel Cerundolo position

Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $295.11

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180

No position

Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.71

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.9

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.03

No position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $68.41

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.23

Yes position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.57

No position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.46

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56

No position

Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.88

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.96

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.54

Djokovic position

Hellenic Championship: Novak Djokovic vs Yannick Hanfmann

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48

Alcaraz position

Qatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.74

Jannik Sinner position

Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Elmer Moeller

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.3

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.83

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $40.96

Over position

Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5 Total Corners

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.12

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.9

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.73

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ goals

No 99.9% 22 shares
Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ assists

No 99% 10 shares
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners

Over 97% 100 shares
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners

Over 97% 100 shares
Ismael Saibari: 1+ assists

No 99.9% 20 shares
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Egypt 97% 200 shares
Nestory Irankunda: 1+ goals

No 99.9% 15 shares
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?

Yes 9% 59.7 shares
Francisco Conceição: 1+ goals

No 99.9% 65 shares
Bruno Fernandes: 3+ goals

No 99.9% 50 shares
Ante Budimir: 1+ assists

No 99.9% 50 shares
Bruno Fernandes: 1+ shots

Yes 99% 28.88 shares