Polymarket Trader

0xa398a420F3E74eF7b52f22554F7a8AcE310EF6cB-1770709834503

0xa398a420f3e74ef7b52f22554f7a8ace310ef6cb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $21.78
Realized PnL: $17.98
Win rate: 37.5%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $97.56
Potential profit: $97.56
User PnL: -$2.24

Yes position

Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $0.69
Potential payout: $28.17
Potential profit: $27.48
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$0.92

Yes position

Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in more than four nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $0.56
Potential payout: $25.95
Potential profit: $25.39
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$0.97

Yes position

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $7.96
Potential payout: $22.43
Potential profit: $14.47
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $1.62

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.26
Potential profit: $14.26
User PnL: -$0.78

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $1.35
Potential payout: $11.49
Potential profit: $10.14
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $0.35

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.42
Potential profit: $11.42
User PnL: -$4.11

Yes position

Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $0.37
Potential payout: $7.05
Potential profit: $6.68
Multiplier: 19.23x
User PnL: -$2.66

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.1
Potential profit: $6.1
User PnL: -$4.11

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $5.59
Potential profit: $4.56
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 68%
Current value: $3.49
Potential payout: $5.13
Potential profit: $1.64
Multiplier: 1.47x
User PnL: -$0.51

Yes position

GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 65%
Current value: $3.28
Potential payout: $5.04
Potential profit: $1.76
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 74%
Current value: $3.06
Potential payout: $4.13
Potential profit: $1.07
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.7
Potential profit: $3.7
User PnL: -$3.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.67

No position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.24

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.83

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.99

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 59.5%
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 81.9%
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 1.4%
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.77

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?

Yes 4.9% 45.14 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?

Yes 5.5% 59.4 shares
Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No 76% 4.13 shares
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Yes 63% 5.04 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 1?

Yes 82% 3.7 shares
Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be below 600,000 voters?

Yes 0.9% 51.9 shares
Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in more than four nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

Yes 1.7% 28.1 shares
Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2026?

Yes 1.5% 28.16 shares
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 61% 3.25 shares
Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in more than four nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

Yes 5.9% 54.05 shares
Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2026?

Yes 5.7% 56.33 shares
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 62% 3.25 shares