No position
Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Polymarket Trader
0xa39Fe164c54030B5f3Dc3D93Ac550a8Bed83fBDB-1768116899785
0xa39fe164c54030b5f3dc3d93ac550a8bed83fbdb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $236.51
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will XRP reach $1.60 on April 17?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will voter turnout be 74–77% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on April 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on April 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $6.00-$7.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 13 – Apr 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on April 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C on April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on April 25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 4°C on April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on April 6?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.89
Yes position
Will the Patek Index hit $104,000 (LOW) by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.89
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.88
Yes position
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.85
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on April 9?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 6?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on April 13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on April 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C or higher on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?Yes 53% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on June 20?No 33% 5 shares
- Will "Maternal Instinct" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?No 89% 5 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 20?No 0.1% 5 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 20?Yes 0.3% 5 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 18?No 99.9% 5 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Yes 99.9% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 20?Yes 45% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 20?Yes 2.1% 5 shares
- Will Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 0.1% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 20?Yes 4.3% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 20?No 81% 5 shares