Polymarket Trader

0x4Dd78cAc018EECBAc72Df28922fc70B664D0A57D-1771707122814

0xa3a1704085a7bd59abe08f9022509219751ec2bc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $161.55
Realized PnL: -$3.37
Win rate: 40%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 5
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.25K
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $714.29
Potential profit: $714.29
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $90.15
Potential payout: $581.62
Potential profit: $491.47
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$34.85

No position

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $351.19
Potential profit: $351.19
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $245.37
Potential profit: $245.37
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $232.31
Potential profit: $232.31
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $57.61
Potential payout: $217.39
Potential profit: $159.78
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $7.61

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $156.25
Potential profit: $156.25
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Kurds declare independence from Iran?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $148.5
Potential profit: $148.5
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Iran leadership change by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $116.28
Potential profit: $116.28
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.2%
Current value: $13.79
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $66.21
Multiplier: 5.80x
User PnL: $3.79

No position

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.42
Potential profit: $70.42
User PnL: -$5

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.65
Potential profit: $65.65
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.51

Yes position

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.43

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$3.71

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.38

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$38.22

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 12.5% 80 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.4% 208.33 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.6% 192.31 shares
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.2% 156.25 shares
Iran leadership change by December 31?

Yes 16% 187.5 shares
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?

Yes 23% 217.39 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.5% 40 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.7% 37.04 shares
Iran leadership change by December 31?

Yes 16% 93.75 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?

No 30.5% 65.65 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Yes 3.5% 360.66 shares
Iran leadership change by December 31?

Yes 26% 76.92 shares