No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $126.64K
- Potential payout
- $139.93K
- Potential profit
- $13.29K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $10.79K
Polymarket Trader
charliealmanack
@lgannon2510
0xa3a39a3746dbd55f3a33ae38bd27ae2804c2c2f9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $230.15K
- Realized PnL
- $259.32K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 24.9%
- Current value
- $13.71K
- Potential payout
- $55.17K
- Potential profit
- $41.46K
- Multiplier
- 4.02x
- User PnL
- $282.16
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.8%
- Current value
- $3.38K
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $46.63K
- Multiplier
- 14.81x
- User PnL
- -$1.61K
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $13.28K
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $1.73K
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$525
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $13.13K
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $1.88K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$375
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $9.37K
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $5.62K
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $74.99
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $7.34K
- Potential payout
- $13K
- Potential profit
- $5.66K
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$66.3
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $8.82K
- Potential payout
- $12.7K
- Potential profit
- $3.87K
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $62.22
Yes position
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $5.45K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $4.55K
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$550
Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $949.99
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.05K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$649.94
Yes position
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $2.63K
- Potential payout
- $8.36K
- Potential profit
- $5.73K
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- $41.82
No position
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $6.94K
- Potential payout
- $7K
- Potential profit
- $59.5
- User PnL
- -$3.5
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $4.29K
- Potential payout
- $6.35K
- Potential profit
- $2.06K
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $920.62
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $3.18K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $1.83K
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $1.23K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $3.78K
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $3.12K
- Potential payout
- $3.16K
- Potential profit
- $39.51
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $111.37
No position
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $1.49K
- Potential payout
- $1.57K
- Potential profit
- $82.5
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $49.22
No position
Will Oprah Winfrey announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $1.43K
- Potential payout
- $1.55K
- Potential profit
- $124.11
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $10.87
No position
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $1.27K
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $29.25
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $139.75
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $185.55
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $817.43
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$396.18
No position
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $784.98
- Potential payout
- $999.97
- Potential profit
- $214.99
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $334.99
No position
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $796.59
- Potential payout
- $801
- Potential profit
- $4.41
- User PnL
- $59.67
No position
Will George Clooney announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $505.84
- Potential payout
- $541
- Potential profit
- $35.17
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $8.11
Yes position
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49%
- Current value
- $245
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $255
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- $115
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.04K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.6K
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.2K
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.1K
Yes position
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.29K
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.46K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.39K
Yes position
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-09?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.1K
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.82K
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.98K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.92K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.54K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.85K
No position
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-25?
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.6K
No position
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.96K
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-26?
Ends Nov 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.85K
Yes position
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.32K
Yes position
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.55K
No position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.1K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.73K
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7K
Yes position
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-22?
Ends Nov 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5K
No position
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45K
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.28K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?Yes 31% 2,795.88 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes 64% 5,000 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?No 25% 5,000 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Yes 68% 5,000 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?Yes 69% 5,670.51 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?Yes 62% 4,668.93 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?Yes 90% 12,448.7 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?Yes 92% 11,752.55 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Yes 71% 15,000 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 23.2% 3,245.92 shares
- Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson announce a Presidential run before 2027?No 95.2% 3,160.46 shares
- Will George Clooney announce a Presidential run before 2027?No 92% 441 shares