No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $784.32
- Potential payout
- $838.84
- Potential profit
- $54.52
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $76.34
Polymarket Trader
0xa3AAfCE83E97973Dec6200dd5049Dc35bF310e36-1771889397676
0xa3aafce83e97973dec6200dd5049dc35bf310e36
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $819.69
- Realized PnL
- $93.21
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $134.62
- Potential profit
- $134.62
- User PnL
- -$35
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $89.86
- Potential profit
- $89.86
- User PnL
- -$33.9
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $7.5
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $48.06
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $55.56
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.3%
- Current value
- $6.69
- Potential payout
- $54.64
- Potential profit
- $47.95
- Multiplier
- 8.16x
- User PnL
- -$3.31
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $0.6
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $41.06
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
No position
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.57
- Potential profit
- $28.57
- User PnL
- -$22
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.53
- Potential profit
- $25.53
- User PnL
- -$13.78
Yes position
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $3.81
- Potential payout
- $16.95
- Potential profit
- $13.14
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$6.19
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $14.95
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $2.95
No position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $14.29
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$1
Thunder position
Thunder vs. Spurs
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.2
- Potential profit
- $12.2
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $11.11
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will Trump say "Khamenei" or "Ayatollah" during trophy presentation?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.99
- Potential profit
- $10.99
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.94
- Potential profit
- $10.94
- User PnL
- -$4.92
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.4%
- Current value
- $0.82
- Potential payout
- $4.02
- Potential profit
- $3.2
- Multiplier
- 4.89x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $0.66
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $3.34
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.34
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during trophy presentation?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.57
- Potential profit
- $3.57
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $0.33
- Potential payout
- $2.86
- Potential profit
- $2.53
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.67
Yes position
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.34
- Potential profit
- $2.34
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.53
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.89
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.34
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.6
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.93
Yes position
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.67
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.56
No position
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.17
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.78
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56
Nothing position
Nothing Ever Happens: March
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27
JD Gaming position
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Will Leavitt say "Ceasefire" during the next White House Press Briefing?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
Yes position
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 91% 27.47 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 91% 27.47 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes 9% 55.56 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Yes 0.8% 125 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 87% 12.07 shares
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 62.3% 17.54 shares
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 37.8% 56.19 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 85% 25.88 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 80% 15 shares
- Thunder vs. SpursThunder 41% 12.2 shares
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 28.5% 17.54 shares
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 37.6% 33.67 shares